Aston Villa
Match Timeline
Arsenal
Aston Villa vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.3%
|
1.22 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
86%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
82.2%
|
1.86 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
77.1%
|
1.26 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
11.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
15.00 |
Probability Distribution
Aston Villa Win 42.1%
Draw 12.7%
Arsenal Win 45.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aston Villa1.5
Arsenal2.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aston Villa
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Arsenal
WLDWL
9 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.25
2.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
7
BTTS Yes
3
9
Over 2.5
3
2
Shots on Goal
6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Aston Villa
9 matches
Arsenal
4 matches
| Aston Villa | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 2 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 7 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 9 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 2.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 6 |
| 10.5 | Total Shots | 20 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 33% | Ball Possession | 64% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Aston Villa won 6 times, Arsenal won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:26 from Aston Villa's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.3%)
Predicted formations: Aston Villa 4-2-3-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Aston Villa 6, Arsenal 4
H2H summary: Aston Villa wins 6, draws 1, Arsenal wins 8
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:5 | 8 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Arsenal
Away
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16:5 | 11 | 10 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 8 |
L
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:12 | -2 | 7 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Aston Villa
Home
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 3 |
L
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship