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GREECE › SUPER LEAGUE 1
10.10.2026 15:00
Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium

Asteras Tripolis vs Atromitos Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
77.9%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Asteras Tripolis Win 33.1%
Draw 30.4%
Atromitos Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Asteras Tripolis0.89
Atromitos1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis
WWDLW
5 GF / 10 GA
Atromitos Atromitos
WLDWL
5 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.71
Average Goals Scored
0.83
1.43
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
4
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
2
4.4
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Asteras Tripolis Asteras Tripolis 7 matches
Atromitos Atromitos 6 matches
Asteras Tripolis Statistic Atromitos
0 Wins 1
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 3
5 Goals For 5
10 Goals Against 7
0.71 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
1.43 Avg Goals Conceded 1.17
4 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 1
4.4 Shots On Goal 3
11.6 Total Shots 11.6
4.4 Corners 3.4
49.8% Ball Possession 45.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Atromitos. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Asteras Tripolis expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Atromitos in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atromitos having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Asteras Tripolis Analysis

Asteras Tripolis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 2 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats with a 4:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on F. Macheda (2 goals), K. Ketu (1 goals), J. Bartolo (1 goals), with creative support from F. Macheda (1 assists), Alex Méndez (1 assists), Ricardinho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atromitos Analysis

Atromitos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 2 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:7 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on S. Moutoussamy (2 goals), C. Núñez (1 goals), S. Tsiloulis (1 goals), with creative support from C. Núñez (1 assists), S. Pnevmonidis (1 assists), T. Karamanis (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Asteras Tripolis won 6 times, Atromitos won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:16 from Asteras Tripolis's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (69.6%)
Predicted formations: Asteras Tripolis 3-4-3 / Atromitos 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Asteras Tripolis wins 6, draws 5, Atromitos wins 4

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 12:2 10 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W L W W
3 5 3 2 0 13:3 10 11
W D W D W
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
D W W L W
5 5 3 1 1 4:2 2 10
W L D W W
6 5 3 0 2 8:7 1 9
L L W W W
7 5 2 1 2 5:10 -5 7
D L L W W
8 5 1 3 1 4:6 -2 6
D D W D L
9 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 5
W D L L D
10 5 1 1 3 6:8 -2 4
L W D L L
11 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D D L L
12 5 0 2 3 4:9 -5 2
D D L L L
13 5 0 2 3 4:9 -5 2
L L D D L
14 5 0 1 4 0:9 -9 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Promotion - Super League (Conference League Group)
Super League (Relegation Group)