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ITALY › SERIE A
19.09.2026 16:00
Stadio Olimpico
Referee: Davide Massa, Italy
AS Roma
Match Timeline
Inter
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
Manu Koné · Assist: Nahuel Molina
AS Roma
🟨
11'
Nicolò Barella
Inter
⚽
37'
Manu Koné · Assist: Gianluca Mancini
AS Roma
VAR
37'
Manu Koné
AS Roma
🟨
45+4'
Manuel Akanji
Inter
⚽
46'
Lautaro Martínez · Assist: Marcus Thuram
Inter
🔄
54'
Curtis Jones ↔ Petar Sučić
Inter
🔄
54'
Federico Dimarco ↔ Carlos Augusto
Inter
🟨
57'
Alessandro Bastoni
Inter
🔄
60'
Gianluca Mancini ↔ Evan Ndicka
AS Roma
🔄
60'
Manu Koné ↔ Niccolò Pisilli
AS Roma
🔄
60'
Nahuel Molina ↔ Devyne Rensch
AS Roma
🔄
63'
Alessandro Bastoni ↔ Luis Henrique
Inter
🔄
66'
Leonardo Balerdi ↔ Daniele Ghilardi
AS Roma
🟨
73'
Evan Ndicka
AS Roma
⚽
79'
Lautaro Martínez
Inter
🔄
81'
Mario Hermoso ↔ Konstantinos Koulierakis
AS Roma
🟨
82'
Konstantinos Koulierakis
AS Roma
🟨
89'
Daniele Ghilardi
AS Roma
🔄
90'
Marcus Thuram ↔ Ange-Yoan Bonny
Inter
🔄
90'
Lautaro Martínez ↔ Pio Esposito
Inter

AS Roma vs Inter Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.4%
Odds 2.73
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.61
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.4%
2.73 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.61 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.32 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AS Roma Win 59.4%
Draw 8.3%
Inter Win 32.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
AS Roma1.86
Inter1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
AS Roma AS Roma
WWDLW
23 GF / 15 GA
Inter Inter
WLDWL
21 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
2.3
Average Goals Scored
2.1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
6
6.8
Shots on Goal
7.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AS Roma AS Roma 10 matches
Inter Inter 10 matches
AS Roma Statistic Inter
5 Wins 7
3 Draws 2
2 Losses 1
23 Goals For 21
15 Goals Against 12
2.3 Avg Goals Scored 2.1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.2
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 8
8 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 0
6.8 Shots On Goal 7.8
18.6 Total Shots 24.2
5.6 Corners 8
59.4% Ball Possession 65.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 2 times, Inter won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:30 from AS Roma's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
Predicted formations: AS Roma 3-4-2-1 / Inter 3-1-4-2
Missing players: AS Roma 1, Inter 3
H2H summary: AS Roma wins 2, draws 3, Inter wins 10

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 14:3 11 13
D W W W W
2
Inter Away
5 4 1 0 15:8 7 13
D W W W W
3 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
4 5 4 0 1 5:2 3 12
W W W L W
5 5 3 2 0 10:4 6 11
W D D W W
6 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W W L
7 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W L D W W
8 5 3 1 1 9:6 3 10
L W W W D
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
D W L L W
10 5 2 1 2 9:9 0 7
L W D W L
11 5 2 0 3 5:7 -2 6
L L L W W
12 5 2 0 3 5:10 -5 6
L W L L W
13 5 1 1 3 8:11 -3 4
L L L W D
14 5 1 1 3 5:8 -3 4
D L W L L
15 5 1 1 3 4:7 -3 4
W L D L L
16 5 1 1 3 8:12 -4 4
W L D L L
17 5 1 1 3 6:12 -6 4
D W L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:6 -3 2
D L D L L
19 5 0 1 4 3:10 -7 1
L D L L L
20 5 0 0 5 4:13 -9 0
L L L L L
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