AS Roma vs Atalanta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
54%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
72.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
71%
|
- |
AS Roma
Atalanta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AS Roma
43 matches
Atalanta
47 matches
| AS Roma | Statistic | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wins | 21 |
| 5 | Draws | 13 |
| 15 | Losses | 13 |
| 64 | Goals For | 69 |
| 42 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.47 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.13 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 36 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 17 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.49 | Shots On Goal | 4.57 |
| 13.23 | Total Shots | 14.62 |
| 5.02 | Corners | 5.32 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. AS Roma appear more affected by absences, and that imbalance in squad availability could shift some of the structural advantage toward Atalanta. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atalanta. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. AS Roma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.
AS Roma sit 6 with 57 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 18 wins, 3 draws, and 11 defeats with a 45:28 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Malen (10 goals), M. Soule (6 goals), L. Pellegrini (4 goals), with creative support from M. Soule (5 assists), D. Rensch (3 assists), L. Pellegrini (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 11 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without Wesley Franca, M. Kone, L. Pellegrini, the biggest concern is that one of those absentees also contributes heavily in both finishing and chance creation.
Atalanta sit 7 with 53 points after 32 league matches. The record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 44:28 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through N. Krstovic (9 goals), G. Scamacca (8 goals), C. De Ketelaere (3 goals), with creative support from C. De Ketelaere (5 assists), N. Zalewski (5 assists), N. Krstovic (4 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with K. Sulemana, I. Hien unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AS Roma won 2 times, Atalanta won 9 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from AS Roma's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | 89:35 | 54 | 87 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 58:36 | 22 | 76 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 |
AS Roma
Home
|
38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | 59:31 | 28 | 73 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 65:29 | 36 | 71 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 53:35 | 18 | 70 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:34 | 27 | 69 |
D
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Atalanta
Away
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 51:36 | 15 | 59 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 8 | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 49:46 | 3 | 56 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 54 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 45:48 | -3 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 46:50 | -4 | 49 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 44:63 | -19 | 45 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 28:46 | -18 | 45 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:53 | -13 | 43 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 41:50 | -9 | 42 |
D
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | -10 | 41 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 28:50 | -22 | 38 |
W
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 32:57 | -25 | 34 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 25:61 | -36 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 2 | 12 | 24 | 26:71 | -45 | 18 |
L
L
L
L
L
|