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09.08.2026 13:00
Emirates Stadium

Arsenal vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Win 53.5%
Draw 7.2%
Borussia Dortmund Win 39.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal1.9
Borussia Dortmund1.55
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Arsenal
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
WLDWL
5 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.5
Average Goals Scored
1.25
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
2
BTTS Yes
2
2
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Arsenal 2 matches
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund 4 matches
Arsenal Statistic Borussia Dortmund
1 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
1 Losses 2
5 Goals For 5
4 Goals Against 4
2.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
2 BTTS Yes 2
2 Over 1.5 2
2 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal won 3 times, Borussia Dortmund won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:9 from Arsenal's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
Predicted formations: Arsenal 4-2-3-1 / Borussia Dortmund 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Arsenal wins 3, draws 1, Borussia Dortmund wins 3