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MONTENEGRO › FIRST LEAGUE
19.09.2026 17:00
Stadion u Parku
Arsenal Tivat
Match Timeline
Sutjeska
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
29'
M. Simun
Sutjeska
⚽
38'
D. Cetkovic
Sutjeska
🟨
45'
P. Malisic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
46'
P. Malisic ↔ M. Djukanovic
Arsenal Tivat
🟨
53'
S. Mandic
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
60'
V. Cavor ↔ M. Camara
Sutjeska
🔄
63'
S. Sesay ↔ A. Golub
Arsenal Tivat
🔄
74'
B. Toskovic ↔ A. Kecojevic
Sutjeska
🔄
74'
D. Cetkovic ↔ M. Mrvaljevic
Sutjeska

Arsenal Tivat vs Sutjeska Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.83
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.97
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.25
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
69.1%
1.83 ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.97 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.25 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
17.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Arsenal Tivat Win 37.6%
Draw 31.6%
Sutjeska Win 30.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arsenal Tivat0.87
Sutjeska1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat
WWDLW
10 GF / 32 GA
Sutjeska Sutjeska
WLDWL
22 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1
2.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
7
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arsenal Tivat Arsenal Tivat 15 matches
Sutjeska Sutjeska 22 matches
Arsenal Tivat Statistic Sutjeska
2 Wins 6
4 Draws 5
9 Losses 11
10 Goals For 22
32 Goals Against 26
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1
2.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Sutjeska. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sutjeska having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Sutjeska carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 8 points while Arsenal Tivat sit 10 on 4, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Arsenal Tivat have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Arsenal Tivat Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 10, Arsenal Tivat still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats with a 3:8 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sutjeska Analysis

Sutjeska sit 7 with 8 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 7:7 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal Tivat won 3 times, Sutjeska won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Arsenal Tivat's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (69.1%)
H2H summary: Arsenal Tivat wins 3, draws 7, Sutjeska wins 5

Standings

Prva Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 17:12 5 17
D W W L W
2 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
D L D L W
3 9 4 3 2 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
4 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W L D
5 9 4 2 3 11:7 4 14
W W W D W
6 9 3 4 2 9:7 2 13
D L L W D
7 10 3 2 5 10:17 -7 11
D L L W W
8 9 2 3 4 9:15 -6 9
L D L W L
9 9 1 5 3 7:9 -2 8
L L D D D
10 9 1 4 4 5:11 -6 7
L W L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Prva Crnogorska Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga