Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Arouca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Maritimo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arouca1.08
Maritimo0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arouca
WWDLW
8 GF / 5 GA
Maritimo
WLDWL
9 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
4
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Arouca
7 matches
Maritimo
8 matches
| Arouca | Statistic | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 8 | Goals For | 9 |
| 5 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 3.5 | Corners | 1.5 |
| 46.5% | Ball Possession | 36% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Arouca won 5 times, Maritimo won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from Arouca's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Arouca 4-2-3-1 / Maritimo 4-3-3
H2H summary: Arouca wins 5, draws 3, Maritimo wins 4
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
Last matches: Maritimo
16.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Famalicao
2
1
W
08.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Casa Pia
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Estrela Calheta
1
1
D
25.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Machico
0
0
D
22.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Camacha
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Leixoes
1
5
L
14.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
AVS
2
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Maritimo
Academica
0
1
L
H2H: Arouca vs Maritimo
08.04.23
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
23.10.22
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
1
1
D
14.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
0
3
L
13.09.21
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
2
2
D
19.03.17
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
3
1
L
30.10.16
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
24.04.16
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
1
2
W
19.12.15
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
4
1
W
03.05.15
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
1
1
D
21.12.14
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
06.04.14
H2H
Maritimo
Arouca
1
0
L
01.12.13
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
2
L
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
3
2
W
24.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Sporting CP
1
2
L
28.12.25
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
14.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
0
W
01.12.25
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
4
L
02.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
0
2
L
05.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
1
1
D
29.09.25
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
0
4
L
14.09.25
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
0
2
L
23.08.25
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
3
D
09.08.25
Pri
Arouca
AVS
3
1
W
H2H at home: Arouca
08.04.23
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
14.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
0
3
L
30.10.16
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
19.12.15
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
4
1
W
21.12.14
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
W
01.12.13
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
2
L
Last matches: Maritimo
16.08.26
Pri
Maritimo
Famalicao
2
1
W
H2H away: Maritimo
08.04.23
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
L
14.02.22
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
0
3
W
30.10.16
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
L
19.12.15
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
4
1
L
21.12.14
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
0
L
01.12.13
H2H
Arouca
Maritimo
1
2
W
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arouca
Home
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Maritimo
Away
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2