Login Register
10.10.2026 20:00
Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva

Argentino de Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 78.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
78.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Argentino de Merlo Win 16.3%
Draw 5%
Sportivo Italiano Win 78.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Argentino de Merlo0.81
Sportivo Italiano1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo
WWDLW
33 GF / 41 GA
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WLDWL
45 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.74
13
BTTS Yes
16
11
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Argentino de Merlo Argentino de Merlo 39 matches
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 38 matches
Argentino de Merlo Statistic Sportivo Italiano
11 Wins 18
11 Draws 11
17 Losses 9
33 Goals For 45
41 Goals Against 28
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.74
13 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
11 Over 2.5 14
6 Over 3.5 5
11 Clean Sheets 16
20 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Argentino de Merlo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Italiano. Sportivo Italiano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 65 points while Argentino de Merlo sit 14 on 44, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Sportivo Italiano having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Argentino de Merlo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Argentino de Merlo Analysis

Argentino de Merlo sit 14 with 44 points after 38 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 11 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 33:39, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 65 points from 38 games, Sportivo Italiano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 11 draws, and 9 losses, with a 45:28 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Argentino de Merlo won 5 times, Sportivo Italiano won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Argentino de Merlo's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Argentino de Merlo wins 5, draws 5, Sportivo Italiano wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 22 8 8 59:30 29 74
L W W W W
2 38 19 12 7 50:25 25 69
L W L W W
3 38 19 10 9 40:23 17 67
L W D L W
4 38 18 11 9 45:28 17 65
W W D L W
5 38 17 13 8 38:23 15 64
L D W L L
6 38 17 12 9 43:29 14 63
L L L L W
7 38 17 10 11 42:38 4 61
W L W W L
8 38 17 9 12 42:38 4 60
W W W W D
9 38 14 13 11 39:34 5 55
D D W D W
10 38 13 12 13 46:50 -4 51
W L L D D
11 38 12 14 12 39:41 -2 50
W L W W D
12 38 11 14 13 40:42 -2 47
L W D L L
13 38 11 14 13 37:39 -2 47
W W D D D
14 38 11 11 16 33:39 -6 44
L L W L L
15 38 10 14 14 36:51 -15 44
D L W L D
16 38 9 16 13 30:37 -7 43
D D D W L
17 38 10 13 15 31:39 -8 43
W L L W D
18 38 9 14 15 33:39 -6 41
D W L W D
19 38 8 15 15 24:37 -13 39
D W D L D
20 38 10 9 19 34:48 -14 39
D L L W L
21 38 5 20 13 21:35 -14 35
W D L L W
22 38 1 12 25 25:62 -37 15
L L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)