ITALY › SERIE B
10.10.2026 17:30
Citta di Arezzo

Arezzo vs Cremonese Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Arezzo Win 31%
Draw 10%
Cremonese Win 59%
Expected Goals (xG)
Arezzo1.09
Cremonese1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Arezzo Arezzo
WWDLW
16 GF / 23 GA
Cremonese Cremonese
WLDWL
15 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.36
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
0.73
8
BTTS Yes
3
7
Over 2.5
4
2.43
Shots on Goal
4.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Arezzo Arezzo 12 matches
Cremonese Cremonese 11 matches
Arezzo Statistic Cremonese
4 Wins 5
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 2
16 Goals For 15
23 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 0.73
8 BTTS Yes 3
10 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 6
2 Failed To Score 4
2.43 Shots On Goal 4.29
11.29 Total Shots 11.86
4 Corners 4.71
38.4% Ball Possession 56.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cremonese. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Arezzo expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cremonese in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cremonese having the stronger overall control. Arezzo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Arezzo Analysis

Arezzo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 6 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Cianci (1 goals), C. Tavernelli (1 goals), L. Mancuso (1 goals), with creative support from P. Cianci (1 assists), C. Tavernelli (1 assists), A. Arena (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cremonese Analysis

Cremonese sit 15 with 5 points after 5 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, together with goals at 5:7, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through F. Bonazzoli (3 goals), Adin Ličina (1 goals), M. Collocolo (1 goals), with creative support from F. Bonazzoli (1 assists), Adin Ličina (1 assists), S. Luperto (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Arezzo won 0 times, Cremonese won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Arezzo's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90%)
Predicted formations: Arezzo 4-3-3 / Cremonese 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Arezzo wins 0, draws 0, Cremonese wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 10:5 5 13
W D W W W
2 5 3 2 0 9:3 6 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 10:5 5 11
D W D W W
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
W D L W W
5 5 3 1 1 7:4 3 10
W L W D W
6 5 2 1 2 5:6 -1 7
L W L D W
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W W L D L
8 5 2 1 2 10:7 3 7
W L W D L
9 5 2 1 2 7:6 1 7
L D W W L
10 5 1 4 0 7:6 1 7
D D D W D
11 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
D L W W L
12 5 2 0 3 6:13 -7 6
L W L L W
13 5 2 0 3 4:6 -2 6
L L W L W
14 5 1 2 2 7:6 1 5
D W D L L
15 5 1 2 2 5:7 -2 5
D D W L L
16 5 1 2 2 7:10 -3 5
L D D L W
17 5 1 1 3 5:9 -4 4
W L L L D
18 5 1 0 4 5:9 -4 3
L W L L L
19 5 1 2 2 4:7 -3 1
D D L W L
20 5 0 1 4 2:6 -4 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation