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03.10.2026 13:30
Ammanford Recreation Ground
Referee: R. Wright
Ammanford AFC
Match Timeline
Holywell
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
F. Yonsian
Holywell
🟨
20'
F. Murtas
Holywell
⚽
38'
J. Evans
Ammanford AFC
⚽
47'
M. Fisher
Ammanford AFC
🟨
53'
J. Evans
Ammanford AFC
🔄
69'
C. Thomas ↔ C. L. Davies
Ammanford AFC
🔄
69'
M. Fisher ↔ C. Shirt
Ammanford AFC
🟨
76'
M. Delaney
Ammanford AFC
🔄
82'
J. Evans ↔ A. John
Ammanford AFC
🟨
90+1'
D. Sullivan
Holywell
🟨
90+7'
T. Bibby
Holywell
🟨
90+8'
C. L. Davies
Ammanford AFC
🔄
90+8'
F. Murtas ↔ L. Williams
Holywell
🔄
90+8'
T. Bibby ↔ T. Dogan
Holywell

Ammanford AFC vs Holywell Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 69.7%
Odds 3.62
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
69.7%
3.62 ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.36 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Ammanford AFC Win 15.2%
Draw 69.7%
Holywell Win 15.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ammanford AFC1.58
Holywell1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC
WWDLW
7 GF / 31 GA
Holywell Holywell
WLDWL
15 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
0.64
Average Goals Scored
1.15
2.82
Average Goals Conceded
3
5
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 11 matches
Holywell Holywell 13 matches
Ammanford AFC Statistic Holywell
0 Wins 0
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 9
7 Goals For 15
31 Goals Against 39
0.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
2.82 Avg Goals Conceded 3
5 BTTS Yes 11
11 Over 1.5 12
7 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 8
0 Clean Sheets 0
6 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Holywell. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Holywell having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Ammanford AFC Analysis

Ammanford AFC sit 14 with 3 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 7:28, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Holywell Analysis

Holywell sit 16 with 1 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 defeats with a 11:35 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (84.9%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 11 1 0 38:5 33 34
W W W W W
2 12 9 1 2 28:8 20 28
W W W W L
3 12 8 3 1 22:10 12 27
L W W W W
4 12 8 1 3 27:20 7 25
W L L D W
5 12 7 2 3 35:14 21 23
L D W D W
6 12 7 1 4 21:15 6 22
L W W W W
7 12 6 3 3 23:13 10 21
W W D L D
8 12 6 0 6 21:17 4 18
W L W L L
9 12 5 3 4 21:32 -11 18
L W L W W
10 12 5 1 6 21:19 2 16
L L L D L
11 12 3 3 6 11:20 -9 12
W D D L L
12 12 3 1 8 7:17 -10 10
L L L W W
13 12 2 2 8 12:24 -12 8
W W L L D
14 12 1 3 8 9:32 -23 6
W L L D L
15 12 0 3 9 5:30 -25 3
L L D L L
16 12 0 2 10 13:38 -25 2
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)