America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
69.7%
|
1.93 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
68.4%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.7%
|
2.07 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
91%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
31 matches
Fortaleza EC
31 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 14 |
| 5 | Draws | 11 |
| 22 | Losses | 6 |
| 21 | Goals For | 36 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 0.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.16 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.87 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.55 | Shots On Goal | 4.16 |
| 13.55 | Total Shots | 13.97 |
| 5.45 | Corners | 5.32 |
| 53.4% | Ball Possession | 48.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Fortaleza EC's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Fortaleza EC. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fortaleza EC having the stronger overall control. Fortaleza EC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 53 points while America Mineiro sit 19 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 17 points from 31 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 22 defeats with a 21:52 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), Paulo Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 53 points from 31 outings, Fortaleza EC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 14 wins, 11 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 36:27 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Vitinho (6 goals), Maílton (5 goals), Luiz Fernando (3 goals), with creative support from Maílton (2 assists), Mauricio Junior (2 assists), Lucas Gazal (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 4 times, Fortaleza EC won 7 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:21 from America Mineiro's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.18 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 57 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 35:19 | 16 | 56 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 25 | 54 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 53 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 |
Fortaleza EC
Away
|
31 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 36:27 | 9 | 53 |
D
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 39:27 | 12 | 52 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 46:44 | 2 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 43:41 | 2 | 48 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 32:25 | 7 | 46 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 32:40 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:38 | 1 | 42 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 34:39 | -5 | 39 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 34:37 | -3 | 35 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 31 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 30:42 | -12 | 30 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 39:45 | -6 | 28 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
31 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 21:52 | -31 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 20 | 31 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17:66 | -49 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
L
|