PORTUGAL › PRIMEIRA LIGA

05.09.2026 17:00

Alverca

1 - 2

SC Braga

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Referee: Luís Godinho, Portugal

Alverca

Match Timeline

SC Braga

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Alverca vs SC Braga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home or Draw

Probability 62.3%

Odds 2.00

BTTS

Yes

Probability 62.8%

Odds 1.95

Over / Under 2.5

Under 2.5

Probability 51.1%

Odds 1.67

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home or Draw	62.3%	2.00	▥
BTTS	Yes	62.8%	1.95	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Under 2.5	51.1%	1.67	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	1.45	▥
HT / FT	Draw / Draw	-	5.00	▥
Correct Score	1-1	-	6.50	▥

Probability Distribution

Alverca Win 43%

Draw 19.2%

SC Braga Win 37.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Alverca0.82

SC Braga1.51

Recent Form (Last 5)

Alverca

WWDLW

10 GF / 10 GA

SC Braga

WLDWL

23 GF / 5 GA

Key Stats

1.11

Average Goals Scored

1.77

1.11

Average Goals Conceded

0.38

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.25

Shots on Goal

3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alverca 9 matches

SC Braga 13 matches

Alverca	Statistic	SC Braga
4	Wins	9
2	Draws	4
3	Losses	0
10	Goals For	23
10	Goals Against	5
1.11	Avg Goals Scored	1.77
1.11	Avg Goals Conceded	0.38
4	BTTS Yes	3
6	Over 1.5	6
3	Over 2.5	5
2	Over 3.5	5
3	Clean Sheets	10
2	Failed To Score	2
3.25	Shots On Goal	3.13
11	Total Shots	5.63
6.25	Corners	3.38
45.8%	Ball Possession	41.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 0 times, SC Braga won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:8 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (80.8%)

Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-3 / SC Braga 3-4-3

H2H summary: Alverca wins 0, draws 0, SC Braga wins 2

Standings

Primeira Liga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18:3	15	21	W W W W W
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22:7	15	16	L W W W W
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17:8	9	15	D D W W W
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11:4	7	15	D W W D W
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10:7	3	11	D L D W L
6	SC Braga Away	6	3	2	1	7:5	2	11	D W L W W
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9:9	0	11	W W W L D
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14:14	0	10	L D W D W
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5:5	0	8	D L L D W
10	Alverca Home	7	2	2	3	9:11	-2	8	W W L D L
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8:12	-4	8	D L L L D
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8:14	-6	8	D W L L W
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9:7	2	7	W D D D L
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5:8	-3	5	D L D L W
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7:15	-8	4	L L L L L
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5:15	-10	4	L D L L W
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3:16	-13	4	W L D L L
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3:10	-7	2	L L D L L