Alverca vs Rio Ave Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
63.7%
|
1.25 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.96 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
75.4%
|
1.80 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.10 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Alverca
Rio Ave
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
11 matches
Rio Ave
10 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 2 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 15 |
| 13 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 1.27 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 1.18 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.8 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 3.67 | Shots On Goal | 2.5 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 7.33 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.17 |
| 43% | Ball Possession | 41.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rio Ave. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alverca expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Rio Ave in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rio Ave having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Alverca approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 2 points from 5 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:10 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Vivaldo Semedo (2 goals), Ian Luccas (1 goals), Chiquinho (1 goals), with creative support from Isaac James (2 assists), Rayan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Rio Ave approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 3 points from 5 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 2:11, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through J. Blesa (1 goals), Tamble Monteiro (1 goals), with creative support from J. Blesa (1 assists), Diogo Bezerra (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 1 times, Rio Ave won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 18:3 | 15 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 20:9 | 11 | 18 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 16 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 15 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
W
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 |
Alverca
Home
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | -7 | 8 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 5 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 |
Rio Ave
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 4 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:16 | -13 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
L
L
D
L
L
|