Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alverca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Arouca Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alverca0.97
Arouca1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alverca
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Arouca
WLDWL
8 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
7 matches
Arouca
7 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Arouca |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 2 |
| 8 | Goals For | 8 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.14 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.71 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3.5 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 46.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 1 times, Arouca won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Alverca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-2-1 / Arouca 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alverca wins 1, draws 0, Arouca wins 1
Last matches: Alverca
15.08.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Mafra
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Alverca
União de Leiria
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
14.03.26
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
1
D
Last matches: Arouca
16.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
4
0
W
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
3
1
W
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
2
2
D
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
06.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Nacional
3
0
W
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
H2H: Alverca vs Arouca
24.04.26
H2H
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
14.12.25
H2H
Arouca
Alverca
1
0
L
Last matches: Alverca
15.08.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Moreirense
2
1
W
04.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
2
0
W
12.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Alverca
Benfica
1
2
L
H2H at home: Alverca
24.04.26
H2H
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
Last matches: Arouca
08.08.26
Pri
Arouca
Vitória SC
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Arouca
Lusitânia Lourosa
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
3
L
22.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
0
D
18.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Feirense
0
0
D
11.07.26
Fri
Arouca
Rio Ave
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Arouca
GIL Vicente
3
1
W
24.04.26
Pri
Arouca
Alverca
1
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Arouca
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Moreirense
1
0
W
06.03.26
Pri
Arouca
Famalicao
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
Arouca
FC Porto
1
3
L
14.02.26
Pri
Arouca
Casa Pia
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Rio Ave
3
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Arouca
AVS
1
0
W
03.01.26
Pri
Arouca
Tondela
1
3
L
21.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Santa Clara
0
0
D
07.12.25
Pri
Arouca
Estrela
1
3
L
07.11.25
Pri
Arouca
Estoril
3
4
L
25.10.25
Pri
Arouca
Benfica
0
5
L
H2H away: Arouca
24.04.26
H2H
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
L
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arouca
Away
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Alverca
Home
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2