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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
Moss Lane
Altrincham
Match Timeline
AFC Hornchurch
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
8'
L. Humbles ↔ O. Khan
Altrincham
🟨
32'
H. Sandat
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
40'
T. Wraight ↔ A. Yearwood
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
45'
S. Taylor · Assist: A. Barlow
Altrincham
🟨
46'
J. Walker
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
46'
F. Edwards ↔ W. Greenidge
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
46'
H. Sandat ↔ H. Hearn
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
54'
C. Kirk · Assist: K. Reddin
Altrincham
⚽
57'
J. Knowles
Altrincham
🔄
64'
J. Walker ↔ C. Pegrum
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
67'
T. Crawford
Altrincham
🔄
74'
K. Reddin ↔ L. Weaver
Altrincham
🔄
74'
C. Kirk ↔ K. Hemmings
Altrincham
🔄
74'
T. Crawford ↔ J. Hinchy
Altrincham
🔄
78'
A. Rowe ↔ A. Balanta
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
87'
J. Knowles ↔ J. Cooper
Altrincham

Altrincham vs AFC Hornchurch Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds 2.15
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.74
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
2.15 ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.74 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.16 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Altrincham Win 58.9%
Draw 10.6%
AFC Hornchurch Win 30.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Altrincham1.23
AFC Hornchurch1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Altrincham Altrincham
WWDLW
17 GF / 22 GA
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
WLDWL
27 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.31
Average Goals Scored
1.59
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Altrincham Altrincham 13 matches
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 17 matches
Altrincham Statistic AFC Hornchurch
6 Wins 10
2 Draws 2
5 Losses 5
17 Goals For 27
22 Goals Against 19
1.31 Avg Goals Scored 1.59
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
9 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 7
3 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Altrincham come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors AFC Hornchurch. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AFC Hornchurch having the stronger overall control.

Altrincham Analysis

Altrincham sit 12 with 12 points after 8 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, while the 10:14 goal ratio supports the view of very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

AFC Hornchurch Analysis

AFC Hornchurch approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 12 points from 8 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 0 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 10:12 goal record continues to suggest mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.4%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation