NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE

06.05.2026 16:45

Almere City FC

3 - 1

De Graafschap

Yanmar Stadion

Referee: Stan Teuben, Netherlands

Almere City FC

Match Timeline

De Graafschap

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

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Almere City FC vs De Graafschap Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 57.5%

Odds -

BTTS

BTTS Yes

Probability 84.5%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 90.7%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	57.5%	-	▥
BTTS	BTTS Yes	84.5%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	90.7%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Almere City FC Win 57.5%

Draw 5.5%

De Graafschap Win 37.1%

Expected Goals (xG)

Almere City FC1.9

De Graafschap1.81

Recent Form (Last 5)

Almere City FC

WWDLW

90 GF / 67 GA

De Graafschap

WLDWL

74 GF / 58 GA

Key Stats

2.14

Average Goals Scored

1.95

1.6

Average Goals Conceded

1.53

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

6.25

Shots on Goal

7.08

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almere City FC 42 matches

De Graafschap 38 matches

Almere City FC	Statistic	De Graafschap
22	Wins	18
4	Draws	9
16	Losses	11
90	Goals For	74
67	Goals Against	58
2.14	Avg Goals Scored	1.95
1.6	Avg Goals Conceded	1.53
28	BTTS Yes	27
38	Over 1.5	33
32	Over 2.5	25
23	Over 3.5	20
10	Clean Sheets	6
4	Failed To Score	6
6.25	Shots On Goal	7.08
16.75	Total Shots	17.63
6.93	Corners	6.58
48.3%	Ball Possession	56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: BTTS Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)

Predicted formations: Almere City FC 4-3-3 / De Graafschap 4-2-3-1

Missing players: Almere City FC 0, De Graafschap 1

Standings

Eredivisie

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	PSV Eindhoven	34	27	3	4	101:45	56	84	W W D W W
2	Feyenoord	34	19	8	7	70:44	26	65	W D W W D
3	NEC Nijmegen	34	16	11	7	77:53	24	59	W L D D D
4	Twente	34	15	13	6	59:40	19	58	L W D D W
5	Ajax	34	14	14	6	62:41	21	56	D L D W W
6	Utrecht	34	15	8	11	55:42	13	53	W W W L W
7	AZ Alkmaar	34	14	10	10	58:51	7	52	D D D D W
8	Heerenveen	34	14	9	11	57:53	4	51	D L W W L
9	Groningen	34	14	6	14	49:45	4	48	W W L L D
10	Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	7	15	40:62	-22	43	L L D L L
11	Fortuna Sittard	34	11	6	17	49:63	-14	39	L W L L D
12	GO Ahead Eagles	34	8	14	12	54:53	1	38	L L D D D
13	Excelsior	34	10	8	16	43:56	-13	38	W D W W D
14	Telstar	34	9	10	15	49:55	-6	37	W W D W L
15	PEC Zwolle	34	9	10	15	44:71	-27	37	L L W L D
16	FC Volendam	34	8	8	18	35:55	-20	32	L D L W L
17	NAC Breda	34	6	11	17	35:58	-23	29	D W L L D
18	Heracles	34	5	4	25	35:85	-50	19	L L L L L