Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Lima
21 matches
Sport Huancayo
17 matches
| Alianza Lima | Statistic | Sport Huancayo |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 4 |
| 5 | Draws | 4 |
| 3 | Losses | 9 |
| 34 | Goals For | 21 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.62 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.24 |
| 0.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.82 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 14.16 | Total Shots | 12.88 |
| 3.68 | Corners | 4.18 |
| 54.5% | Ball Possession | 50.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Sport Huancayo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Sport Huancayo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Huancayo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Huancayo. Alianza Lima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Sport Huancayo in 17 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
Alianza Lima come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 40 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 30:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by E. Castillo (9 goals), R. Garces (5 goals), Paolo Guerrero (4 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (5 assists), J. Velez (4 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Sport Huancayo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 16 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:31 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Yorleys Mena (5 goals), Franco Caballero (4 goals), N. Lujan (3 goals), with creative support from D. Carabano (3 assists), J. J. Canela Torres (3 assists), N. Lujan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 7 times, Sport Huancayo won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Home
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Sport Huancayo
Away
|
17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|