Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
71.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
62.4%
|
- |
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Atletico
10 matches
Sport Boys
12 matches
| Alianza Atletico | Statistic | Sport Boys |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 3 |
| 5 | Draws | 2 |
| 3 | Losses | 7 |
| 9 | Goals For | 12 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 18 |
| 0.9 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 4 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.4 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 12.1 |
| 3.22 | Corners | 3.9 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 48.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Boys. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Sport Boys in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Boys having the stronger overall control. Sport Boys arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.
Alianza Atletico are currently 12 in the standings with 11 points from 9 matches. The record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Franco Coronel (3 goals), F. Flores (1 goals), Hernan Lupú (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Coronel (1 assists), F. Flores (1 assists), Ariel Muñoz (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Sport Boys approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 8 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 8:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on L. Nequecaur (4 goals), L. Urruti (2 goals), J. Alarcon (1 goals), with creative support from J. Alarcon (2 assists), L. Nequecaur (1 assists), C. Lopez (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 4 times, Sport Boys won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:10 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Alianza Atletico
4
6
3
3
1
7
Lineups
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sport Boys
Universitario
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
ADT
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
Sport Boys
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
ADT
Sport Boys
Universitario
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Home
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
?
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 11 |
Sport Boys
Away
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
?
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
?
|