Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 0%
Draw 0%
FBC Melgar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.28
FBC Melgar1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
40 GF / 38 GA
FBC Melgar
WLDWL
52 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.63
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
18
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
17
4.85
Shots on Goal
5.04
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Atletico
28 matches
FBC Melgar
32 matches
| Alianza Atletico | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 15 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 40 | Goals For | 52 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.85 | Shots On Goal | 5.04 |
| 14.26 | Total Shots | 15.63 |
| 3.63 | Corners | 5.26 |
| 46.3% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 4 times, FBC Melgar won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 4, draws 4, FBC Melgar wins 7
Standings
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 56 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 43:31 | 12 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 39:24 | 15 | 48 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 45:29 | 16 | 46 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 5 | 27 | 14 | 3 | 10 | 40:38 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 42 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 46:40 | 6 | 41 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Home
|
27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 40 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
| 9 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 48:40 | 8 | 38 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29:26 | 3 | 38 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 37:44 | -7 | 35 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 13 | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 32 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 25 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:41 | -17 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2