03.10.2026 18:00
Estadio Parque Federico Saroldi
Referee: Jose Burgos
Albion FC
Match Timeline
Defensor Sporting
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
28'
gianfranco rodriguez
Defensor Sporting
🟨
35'
Federico Puente
Albion FC
⚽
37'
Hernán Toledo
Albion FC
🟨
42'
Guillermo De los Santos
Defensor Sporting
🟨
42'
Iker Zufiaurre
Albion FC
⚽
45+1'
Tobías Figueroa
Albion FC
🔄
46'
nicolas medina ↔ Xavier biscayzacu
Defensor Sporting
🔄
46'
Tomás Pozzo ↔ alan torterolo
Defensor Sporting
🔄
46'
gianfranco rodriguez ↔ axel frugone
Defensor Sporting
🟨
51'
T. Moschión
Albion FC
⚽
62'
francisco sorondo
Defensor Sporting
🔄
63'
Iker Zufiaurre ↔ Mateo Baltasar Barcia Fernández
Albion FC
🔄
63'
Hernán Toledo ↔ Santiago Nicolas·Costa
Albion FC
🟨
67'
Francisco couture
Albion FC
🔄
71'
Francisco couture ↔ roman corletto gutierrez
Albion FC
⚽
72'
Tobías Figueroa
Albion FC
🔄
78'
Brian Montenegro ↔ pablo neris
Defensor Sporting
🔄
78'
Nicolas Wunsch ↔ Alex perdomo
Defensor Sporting
🔄
81'
José Álvarez ↔ brandon llana
Albion FC
🔄
81'
Francisco Ginella ↔ Ignacio Neira
Albion FC
⚽
87'
pablo neris
Defensor Sporting
🟨
90+5'
Albion FC
Albion FC

Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw
Probability 45.3%
Odds 3.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw
45.3%
3.25 ▥
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.16 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.27 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
5.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-2
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Albion FC Win 23.5%
Draw 45.3%
Defensor Sporting Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albion FC1.21
Defensor Sporting1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albion FC Albion FC
WWDLW
38 GF / 40 GA
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting
WLDWL
26 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.84
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
18
BTTS Yes
16
17
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albion FC Albion FC 30 matches
Defensor Sporting Defensor Sporting 31 matches
Albion FC Statistic Defensor Sporting
9 Wins 8
7 Draws 11
14 Losses 12
38 Goals For 26
40 Goals Against 35
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.84
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
18 BTTS Yes 16
19 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 3
6 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Defensor Sporting having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Defensor Sporting. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Albion FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Albion FC Analysis

With 34 points from 29 games and a place of 10, Albion FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats with a 37:38 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Defensor Sporting Analysis

Defensor Sporting are currently 12 in the standings with 32 points from 29 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 11 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 25:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Albion FC won 1 times, Defensor Sporting won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Albion FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Albion FC 4-2-3-1 / Defensor Sporting 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Albion FC wins 1, draws 2, Defensor Sporting wins 2

Standings

Primera: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 31 19 6 6 50:25 25 62
W D W W W
2 31 17 7 7 49:27 22 58
W W W L W
3 30 16 6 8 52:35 17 54
D L W W W
4 31 14 11 6 36:25 11 53
L L D W L
5 31 14 8 9 40:36 4 50
W W D D L
6 31 13 10 8 42:30 12 49
W W D L W
7 30 15 4 11 45:38 7 49
W W D D W
8 31 10 8 13 32:42 -10 38
L L L D D
9 31 10 7 14 41:42 -1 37
W L L L L
10 31 9 10 12 35:39 -4 37
D D W D D
11 31 8 11 12 28:36 -8 35
L W L W D
12 31 8 9 14 29:36 -7 33
L L L D L
13 31 9 6 16 23:45 -22 33
L D L W W
14 31 8 7 16 29:42 -13 31
D L L L L
15 31 5 14 12 26:40 -14 29
W L D D L
16 31 8 4 19 27:46 -19 28
L W W L W
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