03.10.2026 12:00
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Referee: J. Sanchez
Albacete
Match Timeline
Eibar
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
3'
Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
Albacete
🔄
45'
Víctor San Bartolomé ↔ Jesús Vallejo
Albacete
⚽
48'
Ander Madariaga Susaeta
Eibar
🟨
51'
Lluís Lopez
Albacete
🔄
59'
Iván Gil ↔ Jon Magunazelaia
Eibar
⚽
66'
Lluís Lopez
Eibar
🔄
67'
Mario Soberon Gutierrez ↔ Higinio Marín
Albacete
🔄
67'
Victor Valverde da Silva ↔ Munir El Haddadi
Albacete
🔄
67'
Roberto Gonzalez Bayon ↔ Álex Rubio Roldán
Albacete
🔄
69'
Alvaro Rodriguez ↔ Sergio Cubero
Eibar
🔄
69'
Jon Bautista ↔ Javier Martón Ansó
Eibar
🟨
73'
Agustin Medina Delgado
Albacete
🟨
77'
Malcom Ares
Eibar
🔄
79'
Agustin Medina Delgado ↔ Agustin Albarracin Basil
Albacete
🔄
85'
jon guruzeta ↔ Jair Amador
Eibar
🔄
85'
Malcom Ares ↔ Pejiño
Eibar
⚽
90+4'
Pejiño · Assist: Javier Martón Ansó
Eibar

Albacete vs Eibar Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 77.4%
Odds 2.72
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
77.4%
2.72 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
2.10 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
1.79 ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.8%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
26.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Albacete Win 18.5%
Draw 4.1%
Eibar Win 77.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albacete0.79
Eibar1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albacete Albacete
WWDLW
10 GF / 18 GA
Eibar Eibar
WLDWL
25 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
2.08
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
8
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
4
Shots on Goal
4.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albacete Albacete 13 matches
Eibar Eibar 12 matches
Albacete Statistic Eibar
2 Wins 8
3 Draws 3
8 Losses 1
10 Goals For 25
18 Goals Against 10
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 2.08
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
8 BTTS Yes 6
10 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 0
4 Shots On Goal 4.86
12 Total Shots 11.57
5.14 Corners 3.43
47.4% Ball Possession 40.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Eibar's more proactive style and Albacete's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Eibar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 15 points while Albacete sit 21 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Eibar. Eibar look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Albacete expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Eibar in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eibar having the stronger overall control.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 21 with 1 points from 7 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 4:12, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Alex Rubio (1 goals), Victor San Bartolome (1 goals), D. Bernabeu (1 goals), with creative support from Mario Soberón (1 assists), Agus Medina (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eibar Analysis

Eibar come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 15 points after 6 matches. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:4, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Jon Guruzeta (3 goals), Jon Magunazelaia (2 goals), Iván Gil (2 goals), with creative support from Ander Madariaga (2 assists), Jon Guruzeta (1 assists), Jon Magunazelaia (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Albacete won 2 times, Eibar won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:12 from Albacete's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.75 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)
Predicted formations: Albacete 4-4-2 / Eibar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Albacete wins 2, draws 3, Eibar wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Eibar Away
8 7 0 1 18:7 11 21
W W W W W
2 8 6 2 0 15:3 12 20
D W W W W
3 8 6 0 2 13:5 8 18
W W W W W
4 8 4 2 2 14:8 6 14
D W W L W
5 8 4 2 2 8:3 5 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 2 2 12:9 3 14
L W W W D
7 8 3 4 1 8:6 2 13
D D W L W
8 8 4 1 3 8:8 0 13
W L W L L
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W L L D L
10 8 3 2 3 8:8 0 11
L W L W D
11 8 3 2 3 12:13 -1 11
D L L W D
12 8 3 2 3 10:12 -2 11
L D L W D
13 8 3 2 3 6:11 -5 11
L L W L D
14 8 2 3 3 8:11 -3 9
D W D L W
15 8 3 0 5 13:18 -5 9
W L W L L
16 8 2 2 4 11:13 -2 8
L L L W D
17 8 2 2 4 8:10 -2 8
W L L W D
18 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
L D L L W
19 8 1 4 3 11:10 1 7
W D L L L
20 8 2 1 5 12:15 -3 7
D W L L L
21 8 1 2 5 7:18 -11 5
D W D L L
22 8 0 1 7 5:15 -10 1
L L L D L
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation