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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
30.04.2026 16:00
Prince Hathloul bin Abdul Aziz Sports City
Referee: K. Al Turais
Al Okhdood
Match Timeline
Al-Ettifaq
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
22'
Francisco Calvo
Al-Ettifaq
⚽
45'
A. Medran
Al-Ettifaq
🟨
47'
Mohau Nkota
Al-Ettifaq
VAR
51'
Samuel
Al Okhdood
⚽
60'
J. Pedroza · Assist: K. Narey
Al Okhdood
🔄
61'
O. Duda ↔ M. Ali
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
64'
T. Nguen ↔ K. Al Lazam
Al Okhdood
⚽
74'
K. Al Ghannam
Al-Ettifaq
⚽
79'
G. Wijnaldum · Assist: K. Al Ghannam
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
84'
G. Gul ↔ S. M. Al Harthi
Al Okhdood
🔄
84'
M. Fagihy ↔ M. Al Jahif
Al Okhdood
🔄
84'
J. Pedroza ↔ M. Al Qaydhi
Al Okhdood
🔄
84'
H. Al Zabdani ↔ M. Abu Abd
Al Okhdood
🔄
90+1'
M. Dembele ↔ F. Al Ghamdi
Al-Ettifaq
🔄
90+1'
K. Al Ghannam ↔ Jalal Al Salem
Al-Ettifaq

Al Okhdood vs Al-Ettifaq Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 93.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 49.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 64.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
93.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
49.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
64.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
67.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Okhdood Win 6.4%
Draw 0%
Al-Ettifaq Win 93.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Okhdood1.16
Al-Ettifaq1.69
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Okhdood Al Okhdood
WWDLW
23 GF / 61 GA
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq
WLDWL
41 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.41
2.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.72
14
BTTS Yes
16
15
Over 2.5
17
3
Shots on Goal
3.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Okhdood Al Okhdood 29 matches
Al-Ettifaq Al-Ettifaq 29 matches
Al Okhdood Statistic Al-Ettifaq
4 Wins 12
4 Draws 6
21 Losses 11
23 Goals For 41
61 Goals Against 50
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
2.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.72
14 BTTS Yes 16
22 Over 1.5 23
15 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 13
3 Clean Sheets 7
13 Failed To Score 8
3 Shots On Goal 3.86
8.31 Total Shots 9.48
3.62 Corners 3.69
41.7% Ball Possession 48.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Al-Ettifaq. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Okhdood expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Al-Ettifaq in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Ettifaq having the stronger overall control. Al-Ettifaq carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 42 points while Al Okhdood sit 17 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Okhdood Analysis

Al Okhdood sit 17 with 16 points after 29 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 21 defeats with a 23:61 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Al Hatila (3 goals), C. Bassogog (3 goals), K. Narey (3 goals), with creative support from C. Bassogog (4 assists), G. Gul (3 assists), Ali Al-Salem (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Ettifaq Analysis

With 42 points from 29 games and a place of 7, Al-Ettifaq still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats with a 41:50 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Wijnaldum (14 goals), K. Al Ghannam (10 goals), M. Dembele (6 goals), with creative support from G. Wijnaldum (6 assists), Álvaro Medrán (5 assists), K. Al Ghannam (4 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Al Okhdood won 1 times, Al-Ettifaq won 4 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:9 from Al Okhdood's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Okhdood 4-4-2 / Al-Ettifaq 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Okhdood wins 1, draws 1, Al-Ettifaq wins 4

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation