Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
87.6%
|
1.17 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.62 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
70.3%
|
1.38 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.23 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Al-Nassr
Al Diriyah
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Al-Nassr
11 matches
Al Diriyah
9 matches
| Al-Nassr | Statistic | Al Diriyah |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 4 | Losses | 2 |
| 21 | Goals For | 13 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.44 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 6.29 | Shots On Goal | 2.71 |
| 16.43 | Total Shots | 10.14 |
| 8.29 | Corners | 4.14 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 40.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Nassr arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 16 points compared to Al Diriyah in 8 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Al Diriyah having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al Diriyah. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Al-Nassr approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 7 outings. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 16:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Ângelo (2 goals), S. Mané (2 goals), Abdulelah Al Amri (2 goals), with creative support from Ângelo (2 assists), João Félix (2 assists), S. Mané (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Al Diriyah are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 7:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Núñez (3 goals), A. Boulbina (2 goals), Abdulelah Al Malki (1 goals), with creative support from Óscar Rodríguez (3 assists), Abdulaziz Al Faraj (1 assists), C. Diandy (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Al-Nassr won 1 times, Al Diriyah won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Al-Nassr's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Al-Nassr
Home
|
8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 12 | 19 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 18 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | 6 | 17 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 10 | 15 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Al Diriyah
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 11 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
| 10 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
D
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|