SAUDI-ARABIA PRO LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Referee: A. Al Kharboush
Al Najma
Match Timeline
Al Taawon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
Vitao
Al Taawon
🟨
36'
Flávio
Al Taawon
🟨
45+2'
Abdulaziz Al Harabi
Al Najma
🔄
46'
A. Al Harabi ↔ R. Al Tulayhi
Al Najma
🟨
57'
Mohammed Al Dossari
Al Taawon
🟨
59'
Nabil Donga
Al Najma
63'
M. Petkov · Assist: M. Al Kuwaykibi
Al Taawon
🔄
75'
M. Petkov ↔ A. Hawsawi
Al Taawon
🔄
75'
A. Fulgini ↔ Biel
Al Taawon
🔄
76'
Vitao ↔ H. Al Dubais
Al Najma
🔄
76'
Lazaro ↔ K. Al Subaie
Al Najma
🔄
81'
M. Al Dossari ↔ M. Al Alaeli
Al Taawon
84'
Samir Caetano · Assist: H. Al Dubais
Al Najma
🔄
85'
B. Boutobba ↔ A. Al Shammeri
Al Najma
🔄
90+5'
M. Al Kuwaykibi ↔ S. Rajab
Al Taawon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 93.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
93.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Al Najma Win 28.9%
Draw 5%
Al Taawon Win 66.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Najma1.1
Al Taawon2.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Najma Al Najma
WWDLW
27 GF / 67 GA
Al Taawon Al Taawon
WLDWL
50 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.96
Average Goals Scored
1.79
2.39
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
19
BTTS Yes
18
20
Over 2.5
15
3.07
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Najma Al Najma 28 matches
Al Taawon Al Taawon 28 matches
Al Najma Statistic Al Taawon
2 Wins 13
5 Draws 7
21 Losses 8
27 Goals For 50
67 Goals Against 37
0.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.79
2.39 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
19 BTTS Yes 18
22 Over 1.5 22
20 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 4
3.07 Shots On Goal 4.04
9.04 Total Shots 10.86
3.71 Corners 3.79
45.6% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al Taawon's more proactive style and Al Najma's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Al Najma have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Al Taawon carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 46 points while Al Najma sit 18 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al Taawon.

Al Najma Analysis

With 11 points from 28 games and a place of 18, Al Najma still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 5 draws, and 21 defeats, and the 27:67 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Lazaro (6 goals), R. Al Tulayhi (4 goals), A. Jasim (3 goals), with creative support from Felippe Cardoso (4 assists), R. Al Tulayhi (3 assists), D. Tijanic (3 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al Taawon Analysis

Al Taawon arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 46 points after 28 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 13 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 50:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Roger Martínez (20 goals), Waleed Al-Ahmed (5 goals), A. Fulgini (3 goals), with creative support from A. Fulgini (8 assists), M. Al Kuwaykibi (6 assists), S. Mandash (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al Najma won 0 times, Al Taawon won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:3 from Al Najma's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Al Najma 5-4-1 / Al Taawon 5-4-1
H2H summary: Al Najma wins 0, draws 0, Al Taawon wins 2
Stats
Al Najma Al Najma
Al Taawon Al Taawon
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
9
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
0
5 Corner Kicks 2
14 Fouls 10
2 Offsides 0
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 9
3 Blocked Shots 0
4 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 10
6 Goalkeeper Saves 2
399 Total passes 460
327 Passes accurate 396
0.76 expected_goals 1.34
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Al Najma
Formation
Al Taawon
Victor Braga
Victor Braga
A. Al Harabi
A. Al Harabi
M. Al Fatil
M. Al Fatil
Samir Caetano
Samir Caetano
A. Al Hawsawi
A. Al Hawsawi
B. Boutobba
B. Boutobba
N. Dunga
N. Dunga
Guga
Guga
Vitao
Vitao
Lazaro
Lazaro
Felippe Cardoso
Felippe Cardoso
Mailson
Mailson
M. Mahzari
M. Mahzari
Andrei Girotto
Andrei Girotto
Q. Lajami
Q. Lajami
M. Al Dossari
M. Al Dossari
Flavio
Flavio
A. El Mahdioui
A. El Mahdioui
A. Fulgini
A. Fulgini
M. Al Kuwaykibi
🎯
M. Al Kuwaykibi
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
M. Petkov
M. Petkov
Al Najma 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
1
Victor Braga
G
18
A. Al Harabi
↓ 46' 🟨 45+2'
D
33
M. Al Fatil
D
3
Samir Caetano
⚽ 84'
D
24
A. Al Hawsawi
98
B. Boutobba
↓ 85'
M
80
N. Dunga
🟨 59'
M
16
Guga
M
2
Vitao
⚽ 8' ↓ 76'
M
7
Lazaro
↓ 76'
F
70
Felippe Cardoso
F
Substitutes
22
K. Al Muqaitib
23
R. Al Tulayhi
↑ 46'
M
77
H. Al Dubais
🎯 84' ↑ 76'
F
4
N. Al Haleel
8
A. Al Shammeri
↑ 85'
M
6
K. Al Shammari
M
27
K. Al Subaie
↑ 76'
11
M. Y. Dawran M.
M
66
S. Al Essa
Al Taawon 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Mailson
G
5
M. Mahzari
D
3
Andrei Girotto
D
87
Q. Lajami
D
55
M. Al Dossari
↓ 81' 🟨 57'
D
8
Flavio
🟨 36'
M
18
A. El Mahdioui
M
11
A. Fulgini
↓ 75'
M
7
M. Al Kuwaykibi
🎯 63' ↓ 90+5'
F
10
R. B. Martinez Tobinson
F
88
M. Petkov
⚽ 63' ↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
13
A. Atiah
G
15
M. Al Qahtani
2
M. Al Alaeli
↑ 81'
D
77
A. Hawsawi
↑ 75'
M
74
S. Rajab
↑ 90+5'
97
F. Al Rashidi
F
66
B. Al Hurayji
D
29
A. Bahusayn
M
20
Biel
↑ 75'
F
Last matches: Al Najma
20.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
1
0
W
14.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
2
D
04.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
0
0
D
28.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
3
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
NEOM
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
2
5
L
12.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Damac
1
3
L
06.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0
4
L
28.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
1
3
L
25.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
0
5
L
19.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
4
L
14.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Kholood
2
1
W
05.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
28.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
20.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
0
0
D
16.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
12.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
3
L
Last matches: Al Taawon
21.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
0
2
L
15.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
5
1
W
29.04.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ittihad FC
0
2
L
11.04.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Kholood
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2
2
D
12.03.26
Pro
Al Taawon
NEOM
2
2
D
06.03.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
3
2
W
28.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
24.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1
1
D
20.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Fayha
2
3
L
12.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Damac
1
2
L
07.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
1
D
03.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ettifaq
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Okhdood
1
0
W
26.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
22.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
2
2
D
18.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
3
1
W
14.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
2
L
H2H: Al Najma vs Al Taawon
23.04.26
H2H
Al Najma
Al Taawon
1
2
L
29.12.25
H2H
Al Taawon
Al Najma
1
0
L
Last matches: Al Najma
20.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Shabab
1
0
W
09.05.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hazm
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pro
Al Najma
NEOM
2
1
W
12.03.26
Pro
Al Najma
Damac
1
3
L
28.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Okhdood
1
3
L
25.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Nassr
0
5
L
14.02.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Kholood
2
1
W
28.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Riyadh
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
3
L
16.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fateh
1
1
D
08.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ettifaq
3
4
L
02.01.26
Pro
Al Najma
Al Khaleej Saihat
2
2
D
07.11.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2
4
L
23.10.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ahli Jeddah
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Fayha
1
2
L
20.09.25
Pro
Al Najma
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
H2H at home: Al Najma
23.04.26
H2H
Al Najma
Al Taawon
1
2
L
Last matches: Al Taawon
21.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hazm
0
2
L
03.05.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Shabab
5
1
W
04.04.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2
2
D
12.03.26
Pro
Al Taawon
NEOM
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Qadisiyah FC
1
1
D
12.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Damac
1
2
L
03.02.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ettifaq
0
1
L
26.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Nassr
0
1
L
18.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Riyadh
3
1
W
14.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ahli Jeddah
1
2
L
03.01.26
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Ittihad FC
0
1
L
26.12.25
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Kholood
2
0
W
07.11.25
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Fateh
5
2
W
23.10.25
Pro
Al Taawon
Al-Fayha
2
1
W
25.09.25
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Khaleej Saihat
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pro
Al Taawon
Al Okhdood
3
2
W
H2H away: Al Taawon
23.04.26
H2H
Al Najma
Al Taawon
1
2
W

Standings

Saudi League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 28 2 4 91:28 63 86
W D W L W
2 34 25 9 0 85:27 58 84
W W D W W
3 34 25 6 3 71:25 46 81
W W W W W
4 34 23 8 3 83:34 49 77
W W W W W
5 34 16 7 11 55:48 7 55
L L W W D
6 34 15 8 11 59:46 13 53
L D L W L
7 34 14 8 12 51:55 -4 50
D L W D W
8 34 12 9 13 43:48 -5 45
D L W D D
9 34 11 9 14 38:57 -19 42
W L D L D
10 34 10 8 16 41:54 -13 38
L L L W D
11 34 9 10 15 41:55 -14 37
D W L L D
12 34 10 7 17 54:62 -8 37
L L L L W
13 34 8 11 15 44:57 -13 35
L W L L L
14 34 9 6 19 39:61 -22 33
D L D D D
15 34 7 9 18 35:63 -28 30
W D W L L
16 34 6 11 17 32:55 -23 29
L W L L L
17 34 5 5 24 27:70 -43 20
L W D L L
18 34 3 7 24 32:76 -44 16
W L D D L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation