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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
19.10.2026 15:05
Al Majma’a Sport City
Referee: Shukri Hussain Al Hunfush
Al-Fayha
Match Timeline
Al-Ahli Jeddah
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
14'
Ziyad Al-Johani ↔ Artem Bondarenko
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🟨
19'
Alfa Semedo
Al-Fayha
⚽
44'
Hugo Moura · Assist: Ahmed Bamasud
Al-Fayha
⚽
45+3'
Artem Bondarenko · Assist: Saad Yaslam Balobaid
Al-Ahli Jeddah
⚽
59'
Firas Al-Buraikan
Al-Ahli Jeddah
⚽
65'
Jason Remeseiro
Al-Fayha
⚽
70'
Artem Bondarenko · Assist: Valentin Atangana Edoa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
80'
Saeed Baattia ↔ Mohammed Abdulrahman Yousef
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
80'
Hugo Moura ↔ Mansor Al Beshe
Al-Fayha
🔄
80'
Matheus Gonçalves Martins ↔ Meshal Al Materai
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
88'
Mohammed Al-Baqawi ↔ Rayan Enad
Al-Fayha
🔄
89'
Mokher Al-Rashidi ↔ Fahad Al Hubayshi
Al-Fayha
🔄
89'
Yago Souza ↔ Nawaf Al-Harthi
Al-Fayha
🔄
90+4'
Eduard Spertsyan ↔ Mohammed Sulaiman
Al-Ahli Jeddah
🔄
90+4'
Valentin Atangana Edoa ↔ Makaya Ibrahima Diaby
Al-Ahli Jeddah

Al-Fayha vs Al-Ahli Jeddah Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.2%
1.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.53 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
81.2%
1.34 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al-Fayha Win 28.9%
Draw 17.9%
Al-Ahli Jeddah Win 53.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al-Fayha1.08
Al-Ahli Jeddah1.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al-Fayha Al-Fayha
WWDLW
8 GF / 23 GA
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah
WLDWL
25 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.92
1.92
Average Goals Conceded
1.69
5
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
10
3.78
Shots on Goal
5.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al-Fayha Al-Fayha 12 matches
Al-Ahli Jeddah Al-Ahli Jeddah 13 matches
Al-Fayha Statistic Al-Ahli Jeddah
1 Wins 5
5 Draws 2
6 Losses 6
8 Goals For 25
23 Goals Against 22
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.92
1.92 Avg Goals Conceded 1.69
5 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
7 Failed To Score 2
3.78 Shots On Goal 5.25
11.33 Total Shots 13.63
3.11 Corners 3.5
45.8% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al-Ahli Jeddah's more proactive style and Al-Fayha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al-Ahli Jeddah. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Al-Ahli Jeddah carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 15 points while Al-Fayha sit 13 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al-Fayha expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Al-Ahli Jeddah in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Ahli Jeddah having the stronger overall control.

Al-Fayha Analysis

So far, Al-Fayha have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 7 points from 8 matches. Their overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 8:12 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Lázaro (3 goals), Hugo Moura (2 goals), Jason (1 goals), with creative support from Lázaro (1 assists), Jason (1 assists), Ahmed Bamasud (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Al-Ahli Jeddah Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Al-Ahli Jeddah have collected 15 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 20:10 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Toney (11 goals), Trincão (5 goals), E. Spertsyan (1 goals), with creative support from E. Spertsyan (3 assists), Trincão (2 assists), Saad Yaslam (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fayha won 1 times, Al-Ahli Jeddah won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:27 from Al-Fayha's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.1%)
Predicted formations: Al-Fayha 4-3-3 / Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al-Fayha wins 1, draws 5, Al-Ahli Jeddah wins 9

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 23:9 14 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 26:7 19 21
W W L W W
3 8 6 1 1 19:7 12 19
W D W L W
4 8 5 2 1 14:9 5 17
L W W W D
5 9 5 1 3 14:8 6 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 20:10 10 15
W W L W L
7 9 4 3 2 13:12 1 15
W D D D W
8 9 3 3 3 8:9 -1 12
D L D W L
9 9 3 3 3 14:18 -4 12
L L L W D
10 10 2 6 2 9:13 -4 12
W W D D D
11 9 2 3 4 10:13 -3 9
L D L W D
12 8 2 3 3 9:17 -8 9
D W D L W
13 8 1 4 3 9:11 -2 7
W D L L D
14 9 1 4 4 8:14 -6 7
L D D L D
15 8 1 3 4 8:15 -7 6
W L D D L
16 10 1 3 6 9:20 -11 6
L W L L L
17 9 0 4 5 4:16 -12 4
D L L L D
18 8 0 2 6 6:15 -9 2
L D L L L
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1