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SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
13.09.2026 18:00
Al-Awwal Park
Referee: Mohammed Nasser Abu Shaqara, Saudi Arabia
Al Diriyah
Match Timeline
Abha
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Abdulelah Al-Malki
Al Diriyah
🟨
24'
Jurien Gaari
Abha
🟨
39'
Nabil Fekir
Abha
🔄
46'
A. Al Malki ↔ S. Al Farhan
Al Diriyah
🔄
46'
C. Diandy ↔ H. Bahebri
Al Diriyah
🔄
67'
G. N'Koudou ↔ A. Gory
Abha
🔄
69'
K. A. Al Sibyani H. ↔ M. Hameran
Al Diriyah
🔄
74'
N. Fekir ↔ N. Al Daajani
Abha
🔄
74'
K. Al Shamrani ↔ S. Al Johani
Abha
🔄
81'
A. Boulbina ↔ M. Al Nemer
Al Diriyah
🔄
87'
I. Gueye ↔ H. Al Qahtani
Al Diriyah
🔄
89'
F. Al Ghamdi ↔ K. Al Qahtani
Abha
🟨
89'
Abdulaziz Al-Faraj
Al Diriyah
🟨
90'
Abdulbaset Hindi
Abha
🟨
90+4'
Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer
Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah vs Abha Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.43
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.62
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.5%
1.43 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.62 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.2%
1.56 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.05 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
8.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Diriyah Win 72.5%
Draw 16.5%
Abha Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Diriyah1.73
Abha0.75
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Diriyah Al Diriyah
WWDLW
13 GF / 6 GA
Abha Abha
WLDWL
6 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.88
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
3
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Diriyah Al Diriyah 8 matches
Abha Abha 8 matches
Al Diriyah Statistic Abha
5 Wins 0
1 Draws 2
2 Losses 6
13 Goals For 6
6 Goals Against 15
1.63 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.88
3 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
3 Shots On Goal 3.33
9.67 Total Shots 9.83
3.67 Corners 3.17
38.2% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al Diriyah's more proactive style and Abha's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Diriyah expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Abha in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Abha having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Abha. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Abha arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Al Diriyah arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 7 points compared to Abha in 18 on 1, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Al Diriyah Analysis

So far, Al Diriyah have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 7 points from 5 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Núñez (2 goals), Abdulelah Al Malki (1 goals), A. Boulbina (1 goals), with creative support from Óscar Rodríguez (3 assists), Abdulaziz Al Faraj (1 assists), C. Diandy (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Abha Analysis

With 1 points from 5 games and a place of 18, Abha still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:11 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 goals), A. Gory (1 goals), Keshim Al-Qahtani (1 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Al-Dosari (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Al Diriyah won 1 times, Abha won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:2 from Al Diriyah's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (89%)
Predicted formations: Al Diriyah 5-3-2 / Abha 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Al Diriyah wins 1, draws 0, Abha wins 1

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18
Abha Away
7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1