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UNITED-ARAB-EMIRATES › PRO LEAGUE
10.05.2026 15:25
Tahnoun Bin Mohamed Stadium
Referee: L. Visser
Al Ain
Match Timeline
Al-Dhafra
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
E. H. Rahimi · Assist: M. Palacios
Al Ain
⚽
17'
A. K. Traore · Assist: M. Palacios
Al Ain
🟨
25'
M. Rabja
Al-Dhafra
⚽
32'
S. Rahimi · Assist: E. H. Rahimi
Al Ain
⚽
36'
S. Rahimi
Al Ain
🔄
46'
S. Rahimi ↔ K. Laba
Al Ain
🔄
46'
A. Jasic ↔ A. Niang
Al Ain
🔄
46'
R. Yaslam ↔ Marcelinho
Al-Dhafra
🔄
46'
R. Djooh ↔ Z. Mohammed
Al-Dhafra
🔄
46'
M. Rabja ↔ Y. Al Marzouqi
Al-Dhafra
🟨
51'
M. Abbas
Al Ain
🔄
61'
M. Abbas ↔ A. Sut
Al Ain
🔄
66'
A. Idrees ↔ E. Noumonvi
Al-Dhafra
🔄
67'
E. H. Rahimi ↔ M. Awad
Al Ain
⚽
73'
K. Laba
Al Ain
🔄
75'
R. Rabia ↔ R. Sarki
Al Ain
🔄
83'
I. Bayesh ↔ Vittor Moura
Al-Dhafra
🟨
90+4'
M. Ratnik
Al Ain

Al Ain vs Al-Dhafra Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.3%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.3%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
74.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Ain Win 88.9%
Draw 0%
Al-Dhafra Win 11.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Ain2.11
Al-Dhafra0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Ain Al Ain
WWDLW
53 GF / 18 GA
Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra
WLDWL
27 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
2.21
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.96
12
BTTS Yes
13
13
Over 2.5
13
3.83
Shots on Goal
1.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Ain Al Ain 24 matches
Al-Dhafra Al-Dhafra 24 matches
Al Ain Statistic Al-Dhafra
19 Wins 5
5 Draws 4
0 Losses 15
53 Goals For 27
18 Goals Against 47
2.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.96
12 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 21
13 Over 2.5 13
9 Over 3.5 8
12 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 10
3.83 Shots On Goal 1.83
12.61 Total Shots 7.28
4.89 Corners 3.44
45.1% Ball Possession 34%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Al Ain's more proactive style and Al-Dhafra's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Al Ain arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 59 points compared to Al-Dhafra in 14 on 19, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Al-Dhafra. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Ain expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Al-Dhafra in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Dhafra having the stronger overall control. Al Ain come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Ain Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 59 points from 23 games, Al Ain bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 18 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, with a 48:18 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on K. Laba (20 goals), M. Palacios (7 goals), S. Rahimi (6 goals), with creative support from M. Palacios (7 assists), Kaku (7 assists), A. K. Traore (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Al-Dhafra Analysis

Al-Dhafra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 19 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 15 defeats with a 27:47 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on K. El Berkaoui (10 goals), M. El Khaloui (5 goals), A. El Refaey (3 goals), with creative support from K. Ibrahim (3 assists), A. Al Karbi (3 assists), M. El Khaloui (2 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Al Ain won 11 times, Al-Dhafra won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 36:11 from Al Ain's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.36 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Al Ain 5-3-2 / Al-Dhafra 5-4-1
H2H summary: Al Ain wins 11, draws 0, Al-Dhafra wins 3

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 21 5 0 62:18 44 68
W W W W W
2 26 17 7 2 60:18 42 58
D D W D L
3 26 14 6 6 39:29 10 48
W W W W W
4 26 13 5 8 46:30 16 44
W L D L W
5 26 10 10 6 38:26 12 40
L D L W D
6 26 9 11 6 36:34 2 38
D W L W W
7 26 9 5 12 27:34 -7 32
D W D W L
8 26 8 5 13 35:47 -12 29
W D L L D
9 26 6 9 11 35:45 -10 27
L D D D D
10 26 7 6 13 29:43 -14 27
L D D W D
11 26 5 9 12 29:45 -16 24
L L D L D
12 26 6 4 16 28:52 -24 22
W L D L L
13 26 4 9 13 24:37 -13 21
D D L L D
14 26 5 5 16 25:55 -30 20
L L W L L
Champions League Elite
Champions League 2
Relegation