Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
66.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
82.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
81.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
39 matches
PSV Eindhoven
39 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | PSV Eindhoven |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 27 |
| 12 | Draws | 4 |
| 11 | Losses | 8 |
| 67 | Goals For | 106 |
| 58 | Goals Against | 57 |
| 1.72 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.72 |
| 1.49 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.46 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 30 |
| 38 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 32 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 21 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.41 | Shots On Goal | 6.64 |
| 13.62 | Total Shots | 16.38 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 6.77 |
| 55.8% | Ball Possession | 59.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors PSV Eindhoven. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ajax expected to line up in 4-3-3 and PSV Eindhoven in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward PSV Eindhoven having the stronger overall control. PSV Eindhoven carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 77 points while Ajax sit 4 on 54, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Operating from 4 place with 54 points from 31 games, Ajax bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 14 wins, 12 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 59:37, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by M. Godts (16 goals), W. Weghorst (7 goals), D. Klaassen (6 goals), with creative support from M. Godts (11 assists), O. Gloukh (6 assists), W. Weghorst (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
PSV Eindhoven come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 77 points after 31 matches. With 25 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 90:41, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by I. Saibari (15 goals), G. Til (13 goals), R. Pepi (13 goals), with creative support from J. Veerman (14 assists), I. Perisic (10 assists), Mauro Junior (9 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their record of 13 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 4 times, PSV Eindhoven won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:31 from Ajax's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.8 goals per game.
Ajax
4
2
5
3
4
2
Lineups
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
Heerenveen
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
NAC Breda
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Heracles
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Villarreal
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Bayern München
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
Utrecht
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
Twente
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
Ajax
FC Volendam
Ajax
GO Ahead Eagles
Ajax
Seraing United
Ajax
Feyenoord
Ajax
Groningen
Ajax
Benfica
Ajax
Excelsior
Ajax
Galatasaray
Ajax
Heerenveen
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
GO Ahead Eagles
PSV Eindhoven
Sparta Rotterdam
PSV Eindhoven
Telstar
PSV Eindhoven
Heracles
PSV Eindhoven
FC Volendam
PSV Eindhoven
Groningen
PSV Eindhoven
Newcastle
PSV Eindhoven
Fortuna Sittard
PSV Eindhoven
Utrecht
PSV Eindhoven
Heerenveen
PSV Eindhoven
Liverpool
PSV Eindhoven
NAC Breda
PSV Eindhoven
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Olympiakos Piraeus
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle
PSV Eindhoven
Bayer Leverkusen
PSV Eindhoven
Excelsior
PSV Eindhoven
NEC Nijmegen
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
PSV Eindhoven
Away
|
34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 56 | 84 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 26 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 24 | 59 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 19 | 58 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 21 | 56 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 13 | 53 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 7 | 52 |
D
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 4 | 51 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 4 | 48 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | -22 | 43 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 39 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 1 | 38 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | -13 | 38 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | -6 | 37 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | -27 | 37 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | -20 | 32 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | -23 | 29 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | -50 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
L
|