Ajax
Match Timeline
Heerenveen
Ajax vs Heerenveen Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
63.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
88%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
88%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 63.2%
Draw 9.4%
Heerenveen Win 27.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.08
Heerenveen2.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
Heerenveen
WLDWL
18 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
2.14
Average Goals Scored
3.6
1
Average Goals Conceded
2
9
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
4
9
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
14 matches
Heerenveen
5 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | Heerenveen |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 30 | Goals For | 18 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 2.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 3.6 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 24.4 | Total Shots | 7 |
| 10.6 | Corners | 4 |
| 69.8% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 11 times, Heerenveen won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 41:12 from Ajax's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-2-3-1 / Heerenveen 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Ajax 5, Heerenveen 1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 11, draws 3, Heerenveen wins 1
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 27:7 | 20 | 20 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 26:10 | 16 | 19 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18:8 | 10 | 19 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:8 | 8 | 17 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 15 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:15 | -1 | 14 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 11 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 11 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 19:17 | 2 | 11 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 |
Heerenveen
Away
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 9 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
| 11 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 13:14 | -1 | 9 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 14:25 | -11 | 8 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 13:20 | -7 | 6 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 5 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 5 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | -14 | 4 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | -10 | 2 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7:23 | -16 | 2 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie