ICELAND 1. DEILD
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.9%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Afturelding Win 69.9%
Draw 5.5%
Ægir Win 24.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Afturelding2.34
Ægir1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Afturelding Afturelding
WWDLW
23 GF / 17 GA
Ægir Ægir
WLDWL
12 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
2.56
Average Goals Scored
1.2
1.89
Average Goals Conceded
2
6
BTTS Yes
6
7
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Afturelding Afturelding 9 matches
Ægir Ægir 10 matches
Afturelding Statistic Ægir
5 Wins 2
1 Draws 1
3 Losses 7
23 Goals For 12
17 Goals Against 20
2.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.2
1.89 Avg Goals Conceded 2
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 8
7 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Afturelding's more proactive style and Ægir's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Afturelding arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 16 points compared to Ægir in 11 on 7, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Ægir arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ægir having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Ægir.

Afturelding Analysis

Afturelding come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 16 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, with a 23:17 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on O. Bjarkason (5 goals), B. Kooistra (4 goals), E. Cogic (4 goals), with creative support from B. Kooistra (3 assists), J. Petursson (3 assists), E. Cogic (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ægir Analysis

Ægir approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 7 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 7 defeats with a 12:20 goal balance points toward mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on H. Willard (4 goals), J. Adeyemo (4 goals), A. Gudbjartsson (1 goals), with creative support from A. Gudbjartsson (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Afturelding won 4 times, Ægir won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:3 from Afturelding's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Afturelding wins 4, draws 0, Ægir wins 0
Last matches: Afturelding
21.06.26
1.
Afturelding
Vestri
0
2
L
05.06.26
1.
Afturelding
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
27.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grindavik
3
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
18.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Grotta
3
1
W
08.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Leiknir R.
3
0
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
Last matches: Ægir
21.06.26
1.
Ægir
Throttur Reykjavik
1
3
L
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
05.06.26
1.
Ægir
Leiknir R.
0
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
27.05.26
1.
Ægir
IR Reykjavik
4
1
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
17.05.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
1
2
L
09.05.26
1.
Ægir
Grotta
0
1
L
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H: Afturelding vs Ægir
09.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
5
0
W
07.07.23
H2H
Ægir
Afturelding
1
4
W
27.07.16
H2H
Ægir
Afturelding
0
1
W
14.05.16
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
3
2
W
Last matches: Afturelding
31.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Fylkir
5
1
W
22.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Throttur Reykjavik
4
3
W
01.05.26
1.
Afturelding
Völsungur
0
0
D
24.04.26
1.
Afturelding
IR Reykjavik
4
7
L
H2H at home: Afturelding
09.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
5
0
W
14.05.16
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
3
2
W
Last matches: Ægir
17.06.26
1.
Ægir
Vestri
2
3
L
31.05.26
1.
Ægir
Völsungur
3
2
W
23.05.26
1.
Ægir
Njardvik
0
0
D
01.05.26
1.
Ægir
HK Kopavogur
1
2
L
24.04.26
1.
Ægir
Fylkir
0
3
L
H2H away: Ægir
09.09.23
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
5
0
L
14.05.16
H2H
Afturelding
Ægir
3
2
L

Standings

1. Deild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 24:11 13 22
W W W W L
2 10 7 0 3 19:13 6 21
W W L L W
3 11 6 1 4 21:19 2 19
W W L W W
4 9 5 1 3 23:17 6 16
L L W W W
5 10 5 1 4 18:18 0 16
D L W L W
6 10 4 3 3 12:11 1 15
L W W W L
7 10 4 2 4 13:9 4 14
W L W L W
8 9 4 0 5 17:22 -5 12
L L W W W
9 10 3 2 5 22:27 -5 11
D W L L L
10 9 1 5 3 9:12 -3 8
D L L L D
11
Ægir Away
10 2 1 7 12:20 -8 7
L L L W W
12 10 1 3 6 11:22 -11 6
D W L L L
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