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31.10.2026 15:00

AFC Totton vs Chelmsford City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.2%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-3
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Totton Win 18.2%
Draw 5.6%
Chelmsford City Win 76.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Totton0.88
Chelmsford City1.65
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Totton AFC Totton
W L L L L
4 GF / 11 GA
Chelmsford City Chelmsford City
D L W W D
10 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.87
Average Goals Conceded
0.81
6
BTTS Yes
8
8
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Totton AFC Totton 15 matches
Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 16 matches
AFC Totton Statistic Chelmsford City
4 Wins 6
2 Draws 9
9 Losses 1
14 Goals For 24
28 Goals Against 13
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.87 Avg Goals Conceded 0.81
6 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 4
6 Over 3.5 4
2 Clean Sheets 7
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Chelmsford City's more proactive style and AFC Totton's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. AFC Totton have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Chelmsford City having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Chelmsford City. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AFC Totton Analysis

AFC Totton sit 19 with 13 points after 13 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats with a 12:24 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Chelmsford City Analysis

Chelmsford City sit 15 with 15 points after 11 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 9 draws, and 0 defeats, and the 17:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.4%)

Standings

National League N/S: South
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 8 2 3 23:14 9 26
D W W L L
2 11 7 4 0 26:6 20 25
W D W W W
3 12 7 3 2 21:11 10 24
W W D W L
4 13 7 2 4 12:9 3 23
W L D W L
5 12 6 4 2 21:9 12 22
D W W W D
6 11 6 3 2 25:14 11 21
W W W D
7 13 6 3 4 24:14 10 21
D W W L D
8 12 5 5 2 26:18 8 20
W D W D D
9 12 6 2 4 23:16 7 20
W L D W W
10 13 5 4 4 20:14 6 19
W W D L L
11 12 5 4 3 19:18 1 19
D D W W W
12 12 5 3 4 20:17 3 18
L D L W
13 13 4 6 3 15:15 0 18
W D W L D
14 12 4 5 3 19:16 3 17
D W L D W
15 11 2 9 0 17:11 6 15
D W D D D
16 13 3 5 5 11:14 -3 14
L L D W D
17 12 4 2 6 10:19 -9 14
L W L D L
18 13 3 4 6 13:18 -5 13
L L L W D
19 13 4 1 8 12:24 -12 13
W L L L L
20 12 3 1 8 16:26 -10 10
L L L W L
21 12 3 1 8 18:33 -15 10
L L L L L
22 12 2 2 8 14:30 -16 8
L L L D W
23 12 2 2 8 10:28 -18 8
L W W D D
24 13 1 1 11 13:34 -21 4
L L L D L
Promotion - National League
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League South (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation