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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
29.09.2026 18:45
Hornchurch Stadium
AFC Hornchurch
Match Timeline
Aldershot Town
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
25'
D. Poleon
AFC Hornchurch
⚽
44'
H. Sandah · Assist: M. Dinanga
Aldershot Town
⚽
60'
G. Alexander
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
64'
M. Wyllie ↔ T. Abrahams
Aldershot Town
🔄
64'
B. Peart ↔ J. Alves
Aldershot Town
🟨
71'
D. Odusanya
Aldershot Town
🔄
75'
S. Ling ↔ J. Baldwin
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
75'
H. Sandat ↔ C. Pegrum
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
83'
A. Rowe ↔ A. Yearwood
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
83'
G. Alexander ↔ J. Walker
AFC Hornchurch
🔄
86'
D. Poleon ↔ A. Balanta
AFC Hornchurch
🟨
90+2'
T. Abrahams
Aldershot Town
🔄
90+3'
T. Dyce ↔ J. Matton
Aldershot Town

AFC Hornchurch vs Aldershot Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.6%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.6%
2.17 ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.57 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
1.72 ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
4.31 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AFC Hornchurch Win 53.6%
Draw 9.3%
Aldershot Town Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AFC Hornchurch1.19
Aldershot Town1.42
Recent Form (Last 5)
AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch
WWDLW
27 GF / 22 GA
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
WLDWL
28 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
7
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 18 matches
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 18 matches
AFC Hornchurch Statistic Aldershot Town
10 Wins 11
2 Draws 4
6 Losses 3
27 Goals For 28
22 Goals Against 13
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
7 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 13
11 Over 2.5 6
4 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Aldershot Town's more proactive style and AFC Hornchurch's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aldershot Town. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. AFC Hornchurch have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aldershot Town having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

AFC Hornchurch Analysis

With 15 points from 9 games and a place of 9, AFC Hornchurch still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 11:12, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aldershot Town Analysis

Aldershot Town are currently 8 in the standings with 15 points from 9 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.7%)

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 10 2 0 32:13 19 32
W W W W W
2 12 8 1 3 28:17 11 25
W W W L L
3 12 7 3 2 29:18 11 24
W D L W W
4 12 6 4 2 26:15 11 22
W D W W D
5 12 6 3 3 22:18 4 21
W D W W W
6 12 7 0 5 17:18 -1 21
L W W W W
7 12 6 2 4 22:18 4 20
L L W L W
8 12 5 4 3 15:12 3 19
D L L D W
9 12 5 3 4 20:15 5 18
W W W W L
10 12 5 3 4 17:13 4 18
L L W L D
11 12 5 3 4 14:16 -2 18
D L D D W
12 12 6 0 6 13:19 -6 18
L W L W L
13 12 5 2 5 18:14 4 17
W D L D W
14 12 4 4 4 23:20 3 16
W W L L D
15 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L W D D
16 11 4 3 4 17:18 -1 15
D D L D W
17 12 4 3 5 14:18 -4 15
L D L W L
18 12 4 2 6 20:28 -8 14
W W L W L
19 12 3 3 6 17:18 -1 12
L D W L L
20 12 3 3 6 14:21 -7 12
L D L W D
21 11 3 1 7 15:19 -4 10
L W L L W
22 12 3 0 9 8:17 -9 9
L L L L L
23 12 2 1 9 13:30 -17 7
L W L L W
24 12 1 1 10 7:27 -20 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation