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ALBANIA › SUPERLIGA
10.05.2026 14:00
Elbasan Arena
AF Elbasani
Match Timeline
Tirana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
7'
P. Myslovic
Tirana
🟨
45'
A. Kasa
AF Elbasani
⚽
50'
R. Haxhiu
Tirana
🟨
54'
E. Musta
AF Elbasani
🔄
57'
B. Lila ↔ D. Ibraimi
AF Elbasani
🔄
81'
D. Mehmeti ↔ J. Cortes
Tirana
🟨
90+15'
V. Bekaj
Tirana
🟨
90+17'
I. Manellari
AF Elbasani
🔄
90+1'
K. Loukili ↔ K. Kasa
AF Elbasani
🔄
90+18'
F. Alvarez ↔ H. Marku
Tirana
🔄
90+3'
R. Haxhiu ↔ S. Vogli
Tirana
⚽
90'
A. Kasa
AF Elbasani
⚽
90'
S. Tabekou
Tirana

AF Elbasani vs Tirana Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 77%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 78.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
77%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
78.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
81.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AF Elbasani Win 77%
Draw 0%
Tirana Win 23%
Expected Goals (xG)
AF Elbasani1.32
Tirana0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
AF Elbasani AF Elbasani
WWDLW
47 GF / 34 GA
Tirana Tirana
WLDWL
33 GF / 45 GA
Key Stats
1.34
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
20
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AF Elbasani AF Elbasani 35 matches
Tirana Tirana 35 matches
AF Elbasani Statistic Tirana
17 Wins 10
11 Draws 11
7 Losses 14
47 Goals For 33
34 Goals Against 45
1.34 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
20 BTTS Yes 17
22 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 10
7 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 10
5 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by AF Elbasani's more proactive style and Tirana's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Tirana. AF Elbasani arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 63 points compared to Tirana in 7 on 39, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tirana having the stronger overall control.

AF Elbasani Analysis

AF Elbasani come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 63 points after 35 matches. With 17 wins, 12 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 46:32, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Blaise Tsague (9 goals), X. Lajthia (9 goals), I. Diallo (8 goals), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their record of 10 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Tirana Analysis

From their first 35 matches, Tirana have collected 39 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 12 draws, and 14 losses, while the 32:45 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on D. Bregu (10 goals), S. Tabekou (8 goals), L. Vila (5 goals), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, AF Elbasani won 3 times, Tirana won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from AF Elbasani's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
H2H summary: AF Elbasani wins 3, draws 4, Tirana wins 1

Standings

Kategoria Superiore
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 18 9 9 42:27 15 63
L L L W L
2 36 17 11 8 48:37 11 62
W W L L L
3 36 16 9 11 42:34 8 57
W W W L W
4 36 12 13 11 43:33 10 49
L L W L D
5 36 13 9 14 38:48 -10 48
W L L L D
6 36 11 11 14 36:46 -10 44
W W W W D
7 36 10 12 14 39:40 -1 42
W D W W D
8 36 9 15 12 32:37 -5 42
W W D L L
9 36 10 11 15 38:50 -12 41
L W W W D
10 36 8 12 16 39:45 -6 36
L D W W W
Championship round
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation