PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Referee: R. B. Perez
ADT
Match Timeline
Comerciantes Unidos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
J. Bauman · Assist: C. Cabello
ADT
🟨
28'
Agustín Rodriguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🟨
39'
Ángel Ojeda
ADT
🟨
45'
Alexis Arias
Comerciantes Unidos
45'
J. Guivin Tanta
ADT
🔄
46'
J. Herrera ↔ C. Saavedra
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
46'
A. Rodriguez ↔ T. Salinas
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
54'
P. Guzman ↔ O. Pinto
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
60'
F. Rojas ↔ J. Parodi
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
70'
R. Vilca ↔ E. M. Perez Azambuya
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
74'
A. Ojeda ↔ A. Hidalgo
ADT
🟨
75'
Jonathan Bauman
ADT
🟨
75'
Flavio Alcedo
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
77'
J. Rojas ↔ H. Arakaki
ADT
🟨
90+4'
Juan Rodríguez
Comerciantes Unidos
🔄
90'
J. Guivin Tanta ↔ J. Vega
ADT
🔄
90'
C. Cabello ↔ A. Cubas
ADT

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.7%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
ADT Win 44.3%
Draw 19.3%
Comerciantes Unidos Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
ADT1.24
Comerciantes Unidos1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
ADT ADT
WWDLW
19 GF / 19 GA
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
WLDWL
19 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1.19
7
BTTS Yes
10
7
Over 2.5
6
5.36
Shots on Goal
3.64

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ADT ADT 15 matches
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 16 matches
ADT Statistic Comerciantes Unidos
4 Wins 5
5 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
19 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 19
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1.19
7 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 6
6 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 3
5.36 Shots On Goal 3.64
13.29 Total Shots 11.36
3.86 Corners 3.29
56% Ball Possession 41.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Comerciantes Unidos. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with ADT expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Comerciantes Unidos in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Comerciantes Unidos having the stronger overall control.

ADT Analysis

ADT sit 10 with 17 points after 14 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 18:17 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Guivin Tanta (3 goals), J. Rojas (3 goals), Jonathan Bauman (3 goals), with creative support from Carlos Cabello (4 assists), J. Rojas (1 assists), Jonathan Bauman (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Comerciantes Unidos Analysis

Comerciantes Unidos sit 7 with 20 points after 14 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 18:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Matias Sen (5 goals), Juan Rodríguez (2 goals), Maximiliano Perez (2 goals), with creative support from R. Vilca (3 assists), J. Herrera (2 assists), A. Cossio (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, ADT won 3 times, Comerciantes Unidos won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:0 from ADT's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.7%)
Predicted formations: ADT 4-2-3-1 / Comerciantes Unidos 3-4-3
H2H summary: ADT wins 3, draws 2, Comerciantes Unidos wins 0
Stats
ADT ADT
Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
7
3 Corner Kicks 9
12 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 3
400 Total passes 293
327 Passes accurate 228
0.98 expected_goals 1.21
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

ADT
Formation
Comerciantes Unidos
C. Solis
C. Solis
C. Cabello
🎯
C. Cabello
R. Biojo
R. Biojo
J. Soto
J. Soto
A. Ojeda
A. Ojeda
J. Alvino
J. Alvino
J. Guivin Tanta
J. Guivin Tanta
L. E. Benites Vargas
L. E. Benites Vargas
V. Cedron
V. Cedron
J. Rojas
J. Rojas
J. Bauman
J. Bauman
M. Cordova
M. Cordova
F. Rojas
F. Rojas
F. Alcedo
F. Alcedo
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
J. Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
A. Cossio
A. Cossio
J. Herrera
J. Herrera
A. Arias
A. Arias
A. Rodriguez
A. Rodriguez
R. Vilca
R. Vilca
M. Sen
M. Sen
ADT 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
33
C. Solis
G
14
C. Cabello
🎯 16' ↓ 90'
D
4
R. Biojo
D
28
J. Soto
D
6
A. Ojeda
↓ 74' 🟨 39'
D
15
J. Alvino
8
J. Guivin Tanta
⚽ 45' ↓ 90'
M
21
L. E. Benites Vargas
M
10
V. Cedron
M
7
J. Rojas
↓ 77'
M
32
J. Bauman
⚽ 16' 🟨 75'
F
Substitutes
30
J. Valencia
G
5
J. Vega
↑ 90'
M
19
A. Carnero
11
A. Cubas
↑ 90'
M
37
N. Rengifo
F
17
H. Arakaki
↑ 77'
M
27
A. Hidalgo
↑ 74'
M
2
J. Reyes
M
26
J. Garcilazo
F
Comerciantes Unidos 5-4-1
Starting XI
17
M. Cordova
G
16
F. Rojas
↓ 60'
D
40
F. Alcedo
🟨 75'
D
30
P. Guzman
↓ 54'
D
6
J. Rodriguez
🟨 90+4'
D
15
A. Cossio
D
11
J. Herrera
↓ 46'
4
A. Arias
🟨 45'
M
18
A. Rodriguez
↓ 46' 🟨 28'
M
25
R. Vilca
↓ 70'
M
9
M. Sen
F
Substitutes
99
J. Charun
13
E. M. Perez Azambuya
↑ 70'
F
28
O. Pinto
↑ 54'
M
10
M. P. Carpio Ferro
M
29
C. Saavedra
↑ 46'
M
5
C. A. Correa Flores
M
20
J. Parodi
↑ 60'
M
19
D. Lino
D
14
T. Salinas
↑ 46'
M
Last matches: ADT
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
ADT
Sporting Cristal
1
2
L
09.05.26
Pri
ADT
UCV Moquegua
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
ADT
Cienciano
2
3
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
14.02.26
Pri
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
07.02.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
1
0
W
01.02.26
Pri
ADT
Universitario
0
2
L
18.01.26
Fri
ADT
FC Cajamarca
1
2
L
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
25.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sporting Cristal
1
0
W
22.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
21.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Universitario
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
07.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Atletico Grau
3
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
02.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
21.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
0
1
L
H2H: ADT vs Comerciantes Unidos
17.05.26
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
23.11.25
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
0
D
11.07.25
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
28.10.24
H2H
Comerciantes Unidos
ADT
0
0
D
19.05.24
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
Last matches: ADT
30.05.26
Pri
ADT
Cusco
1
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
ADT
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
27.04.26
Pri
ADT
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
4
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
ADT
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
20.03.26
Pri
ADT
FBC Melgar
1
1
D
08.03.26
Pri
ADT
Juan Pablo II College
2
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
ADT
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
07.02.26
Pri
ADT
Sport Boys
1
0
W
H2H at home: ADT
17.05.26
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
11.07.25
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
19.05.24
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
W
Last matches: Comerciantes Unidos
30.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Juan Pablo II College
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
13.03.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
FC Cajamarca
4
3
W
22.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Cusco
1
3
L
08.02.26
Pri
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
25.01.26
Fri
Comerciantes Unidos
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
H2H away: Comerciantes Unidos
17.05.26
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
L
11.07.25
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
L
19.05.24
H2H
ADT
Comerciantes Unidos
2
0
L

Standings

Primera Division: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
?
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
?
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
?
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
?
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
?
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
?
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
?
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
?
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
?
10
ADT Home
17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
?
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
?
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
?
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
?
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
?
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
?
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
?
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
?
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
?
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)