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FINLAND › VEIKKAUSLIIGA
16.08.2026 14:00
Raatin stadion
Referee: Joni Hyytia, Finland
AC Oulu
Match Timeline
Inter Turku
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
30'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
⚽
36'
R. Karjalainen
AC Oulu
🟨
38'
Markus Arsalo
AC Oulu
🔄
46'
I. Kangasniemi ↔ J. Hamalainen
Inter Turku
🔄
46'
I. Jarvinen ↔ A. Conteh
Inter Turku
🟨
48'
Prosper Ahiabu
Inter Turku
⚽
53'
A. Conteh · Assist: L. Laine
Inter Turku
🔄
60'
A. Granlund ↔ J. Niska
Inter Turku
⚽
61'
A. Conteh · Assist: J. Tauriainen
Inter Turku
🔄
64'
N. Jokelainen ↔ E. Kallio
AC Oulu
🔄
75'
R. Karjalainen ↔ A. Kone
AC Oulu
🔄
75'
L. Laine ↔ J. Tuominen
Inter Turku
⚽
84'
P. Ahiabu · Assist: A. Conteh
Inter Turku
🟨
85'
Juha Pirinen
AC Oulu
🔄
86'
L. Prokop ↔ J. Yli-Kokko
Inter Turku
🔄
87'
O. Kemppainen ↔ M. Ojala
AC Oulu
🔄
87'
I. Mendolin ↔ L. Ghezali
AC Oulu

AC Oulu vs Inter Turku Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 42.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
42.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
58.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Oulu Win 40.4%
Draw 16.8%
Inter Turku Win 42.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Oulu1.09
Inter Turku1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Oulu AC Oulu
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Inter Turku Inter Turku
WLDWL
38 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1.19
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
10
BTTS Yes
15
8
Over 2.5
11
2
Shots on Goal
2.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Oulu AC Oulu 21 matches
Inter Turku Inter Turku 29 matches
AC Oulu Statistic Inter Turku
10 Wins 14
4 Draws 11
7 Losses 4
26 Goals For 38
25 Goals Against 25
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1.19 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
10 BTTS Yes 15
13 Over 1.5 21
8 Over 2.5 11
4 Over 3.5 4
7 Clean Sheets 11
5 Failed To Score 7
2 Shots On Goal 2.17
5.32 Total Shots 4
2.05 Corners 2
20.2% Ball Possession 24.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Inter Turku. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

AC Oulu Analysis

Placed 4 with 30 points from 18 outings, AC Oulu continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 22:21 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through E. Kallio (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Inter Turku Analysis

Placed 2 with 34 points from 18 outings, Inter Turku continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, while the 25:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Clinton Jephta (1 goals), Alie Conteh (1 goals), J. Yli-Kokko (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Oulu won 4 times, Inter Turku won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:25 from AC Oulu's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.3%)
Predicted formations: AC Oulu 4-2-3-1 / Inter Turku 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: AC Oulu wins 4, draws 4, Inter Turku wins 7

Standings

Veikkausliiga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 22 12 7 3 38:23 15 43
L L W D D
2 22 11 9 2 29:16 13 42
W D W W L
3 22 11 4 7 36:27 9 37
W D D W W
4 22 10 6 6 36:29 7 36
D D W D D
5 22 10 4 8 25:25 0 34
W L L L D
6 22 9 6 7 29:22 7 33
L L L W L
7 22 9 5 8 26:19 7 32
L D L W W
8 22 8 7 7 28:23 5 31
L L L D D
9 22 7 4 11 34:37 -3 25
D W W W L
10 22 4 7 11 25:33 -8 19
W W D D D
11 22 3 6 13 18:44 -26 15
W D D L L
12 22 3 5 14 17:43 -26 14
D L W L W
Play-offs
Relegation Play-offs