AC Milan
Match Timeline
Lecce
AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
No Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
91.1%
|
1.14 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
1.60 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
73.3%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
1.73 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Probability Distribution
AC Milan Win 45.1%
Draw 8.9%
Lecce Win 46.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Milan1.5
Lecce1.46
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Milan
WWDLW
14 GF / 14 GA
Lecce
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.56
Average Goals Conceded
1.4
6
BTTS Yes
3
5
Over 2.5
4
4.2
Shots on Goal
3.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
AC Milan
9 matches
Lecce
10 matches
| AC Milan | Statistic | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 5 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 4 |
| 14 | Goals For | 14 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 6 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.2 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 14.2 | Total Shots | 10.8 |
| 4.4 | Corners | 4.4 |
| 58.8% | Ball Possession | 43.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Milan won 11 times, Lecce won 0 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 38:13 from AC Milan's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.1%)
Predicted formations: AC Milan 3-4-2-1 / Lecce 4-3-3
Missing players: AC Milan 0, Lecce 3
H2H summary: AC Milan wins 11, draws 4, Lecce wins 0
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15:8 | 7 | 13 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 13 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 12 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 |
AC Milan
Home
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 11 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 |
Lecce
Away
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
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