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DENMARK › SUPERLIGA
20.09.2026 14:00
Hybel Arena Horsens
Referee: J. Hansen
AC Horsens
Match Timeline
Aarhus
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Adam Herdonsson
AC Horsens
⚽
58'
M. Knudsen · Assist: T. Bech
Aarhus
🔄
59'
O. Kolskogen ↔ I. Milicevic
AC Horsens
🔄
59'
A. Herdonsson ↔ K. Lusavec
AC Horsens
🟨
60'
Alagie Saine
AC Horsens
🔄
61'
T. Bech ↔ S. Jorgensen
Aarhus
🔄
66'
Y. Ouorou ↔ K. Frimpong
AC Horsens
🔄
67'
J. Serra ↔ C. McCowatt
Aarhus
🔄
67'
F. Emmery ↔ S. Tchamche
Aarhus
⚽
68'
C. McCowatt
Aarhus
🔄
77'
A. Justinussen ↔ J. Bonde
AC Horsens
🔄
77'
A. Moro ↔ J. Korkko
AC Horsens
🔄
84'
R. Carstensen ↔ F. Tingager
Aarhus
🔄
84'
C. Rosler ↔ J. Andersen
Aarhus
🟨
89'
Kristian Arnstad
Aarhus
⚽
89'
J. Bonde · Assist: V. Palsson
AC Horsens
🟨
90+5'
Mikael Anderson
Aarhus
⚽
90'
I. Milicevic
AC Horsens

AC Horsens vs Aarhus Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.3%
Odds 4.27
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.3%
4.27 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.82 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.26 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
AC Horsens Win 80.3%
Draw 8.5%
Aarhus Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
AC Horsens1.61
Aarhus1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
AC Horsens AC Horsens
WWDLW
26 GF / 27 GA
Aarhus Aarhus
WLDWL
38 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.73
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
1.73
10
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
17
4.63
Shots on Goal
4.07

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

AC Horsens AC Horsens 17 matches
Aarhus Aarhus 22 matches
AC Horsens Statistic Aarhus
6 Wins 8
2 Draws 5
9 Losses 9
26 Goals For 38
27 Goals Against 38
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 1.73
10 BTTS Yes 15
16 Over 1.5 22
9 Over 2.5 17
4 Over 3.5 11
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 3
4.63 Shots On Goal 4.07
10.13 Total Shots 13.29
2.88 Corners 5.93
46% Ball Possession 51.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. AC Horsens arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 10 points compared to Aarhus in 11 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Aarhus arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aarhus. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with AC Horsens expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Aarhus in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aarhus having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

AC Horsens Analysis

From their first 8 matches, AC Horsens have collected 10 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 13:14 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Ehibhatiomhan (4 goals), Y. Ouorou (2 goals), A. Justinussen (2 goals), with creative support from Jimi Weikko Tauriainen (3 assists), Y. Ouorou (1 assists), K. Kirkegaard (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aarhus Analysis

With 4 points from 7 games and a place of 11, Aarhus still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 9:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Serra (3 goals), Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad (2 goals), Frederik Emmery (1 goals), with creative support from Frederik Emmery (2 assists), S. Jørgensen (2 assists), M. Knudsen (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, AC Horsens won 3 times, Aarhus won 12 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:29 from AC Horsens's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: AC Horsens 4-2-3-1 / Aarhus 3-4-2-1
Missing players: AC Horsens 1, Aarhus 5
H2H summary: AC Horsens wins 3, draws 0, Aarhus wins 12

Standings

Superliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 23:8 15 24
W W W W W
2 9 5 4 0 17:9 8 19
D W D W D
3 9 5 2 2 15:8 7 17
W D L W W
4 9 5 2 2 14:10 4 17
L W D L W
5 9 4 1 4 12:15 -3 13
L L L L W
6 9 3 2 4 15:16 -1 11
D L W L W
7 9 2 4 3 12:12 0 10
W D D D L
8 9 3 1 5 11:14 -3 10
L L W W L
9 9 2 3 4 8:14 -6 9
D W L D D
10 9 1 4 4 10:16 -6 7
L D W D L
11 9 0 5 4 11:17 -6 5
D L D L L
12 9 1 2 6 12:21 -9 5
W D L L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs