BRAZIL SERIE D
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.8%
Odds 1.45
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.00
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.8%
1.45
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.00
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.20
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
ABC Win 81.8%
Draw 5.5%
Altos Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
ABC1.45
Altos0.71
Recent Form (Last 5)
ABC ABC
WWDLW
16 GF / 6 GA
Altos Altos
WLDWL
9 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
0.82
0.55
Average Goals Conceded
1.45
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

ABC ABC 11 matches
Altos Altos 11 matches
ABC Statistic Altos
8 Wins 3
2 Draws 2
1 Losses 6
16 Goals For 9
6 Goals Against 16
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 0.82
0.55 Avg Goals Conceded 1.45
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs ABC's more proactive style and Altos's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Altos. ABC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 23 points compared to Altos in 4 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Altos having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. ABC come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

ABC Analysis

ABC come into this tie placed 1 in their league with 23 points from 10 matches. The return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by Igor Bahia (3 goals), Wellington Carvalho (3 goals), Edson (2 goals), with creative support from Igor Bahia (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Altos Analysis

Altos enter this tie with a season profile built on 11 points from 10 matches, placing them 4 in their league. The return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 9:15 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by G. Alves (2 goals), Geninho (2 goals), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the return of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, ABC won 2 times, Altos won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:4 from ABC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
H2H summary: ABC wins 2, draws 1, Altos wins 2
Last matches: ABC
21.06.26
Ser
ABC
Altos
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
0
3
L
Last matches: Altos
21.06.26
Ser
Altos
ABC
0
1
L
13.06.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
3
2
W
31.05.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Altos
Ferroviario
1
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
0
1
L
09.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Altos
Ferroviario
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
0
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
0
0
D
24.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
18.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
09.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
3
1
W
03.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
5
1
W
26.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maranhão
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Altos
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
12.07.25
Ser
Altos
Parnahyba
4
2
W
06.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maracanã
3
1
W
28.06.25
Ser
Altos
Iguatu
2
1
W
H2H: ABC vs Altos
21.06.26
H2H
Altos
ABC
0
1
W
04.05.22
H2H
Altos
ABC
2
1
L
16.03.22
H2H
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
08.05.19
H2H
ABC
Altos
2
0
W
02.05.19
H2H
Altos
ABC
1
0
L
Last matches: ABC
14.06.26
Ser
ABC
Maguary PE
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
ABC
America-RN
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
ABC
Sousa
2
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
ABC
Central SC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
ABC
Laguna
4
0
W
H2H at home: ABC
16.03.22
H2H
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
08.05.19
H2H
ABC
Altos
2
0
W
Last matches: Altos
31.05.26
Ser
Altos
Fluminense PI
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Altos
Ferroviario
1
3
L
09.05.26
Ser
Altos
Tirol/CEFAT
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Altos
Piauí
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
Altos
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
0
0
D
18.08.25
Ser
Altos
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
03.08.25
Ser
Altos
Independência
5
1
W
19.07.25
Ser
Altos
Tocantinópolis
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Altos
Maracanã
3
1
W
14.06.25
Ser
Altos
Imperatriz
1
0
W
31.05.25
Ser
Altos
Sampaio Correa
2
2
D
17.05.25
Ser
Altos
Iguatu
3
2
W
04.05.25
Ser
Altos
Parnahyba
2
0
W
19.04.25
Ser
Altos
Maranhão
1
1
D
H2H away: Altos
16.03.22
H2H
ABC
Altos
1
1
D
08.05.19
H2H
ABC
Altos
2
0
L
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 3.70
Home 1.45
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.50
Draw 2.20
Home 1.95
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 6.00
Draw 2.60
Home 1.80
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.30
Over 2.5 2.00
Over 3.5 3.50
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.5 3.40
Under 2.5 1.80
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.14
Draw 3.88
Home 1.47
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 6.17
Draw 2.17
Home 2.05
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 5.79
Draw 2.56
Home 1.83
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.27
Over 1.75 1.34
Over 2.0 1.44
Over 2.25 1.70
Over 2.5 1.91
Over 2.75 2.18
Over 3.0 2.59
Over 3.25 2.92
Over 3.5 3.20
Over 3.75 3.96
Over 4.0 5.40
Over 4.5 6.50
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 17.00
Under 0.5 9.50
Under 1.0 7.40
Under 1.5 3.14
Under 1.75 2.78
Under 2.0 2.43
Under 2.25 2.02
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 2.75 1.60
Under 3.0 1.39
Under 3.25 1.31
Under 3.5 1.26
Under 3.75 1.17
Under 4.0 1.09
Under 4.5 1.10
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 6.25
Draw 4.20
Home 1.41
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 3.5 3.25
Under 1.5 3.35
Under 2.5 1.79
Under 3.5 1.26

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
ABC Home
10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)