Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
45.4%
|
2.02 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
2.11 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.8%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
A. Italiano
25 matches
Union La Calera
25 matches
| A. Italiano | Statistic | Union La Calera |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 8 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 11 |
| 32 | Goals For | 34 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.11 | Shots On Goal | 3.47 |
| 10.42 | Total Shots | 10.21 |
| 3.63 | Corners | 5.32 |
| 47.8% | Ball Possession | 50.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Union La Calera. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with A. Italiano expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Union La Calera in 5-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union La Calera having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
A. Italiano sit 13 with 20 points after 18 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, while the 22:25 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Michael Vadulli (3 goals), Giovani Chiaverano (2 goals), Diego Coelho (2 goals), with creative support from Esteban Matus (2 assists), Giovani Chiaverano (1 assists), Federico Mateos (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Union La Calera sit 16 with 13 points after 18 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 11 defeats with a 16:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Kevin Méndez (3 goals), Sebastián Sáez (3 goals), Francisco Jose Pozzo (2 goals), with creative support from Kevin Méndez (3 assists), Christopher Díaz (3 assists), Nicolás Avellaneda (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, A. Italiano won 3 times, Union La Calera won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:26 from A. Italiano's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
Nublense
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Nublense
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Palestino
Union La Calera
Huachipato
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
Concepción
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
O'Higgins
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
Nublense
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
Curico Unido
A. Italiano
Deportes Temuco
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Union Espanola
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
Union La Calera
Nublense
Union La Calera
Santiago Wanderers
Union La Calera
Cobresal
Union La Calera
Union San Felipe
Union La Calera
Universidad de Chile
Union La Calera
Universidad de Concepcion
Union La Calera
Huachipato
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
Deportes Limache
Union La Calera
D. La Serena
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
Coquimbo Unido
Union La Calera
Everton de Vina
Union La Calera
U. Catolica
Union La Calera
San Luis
Union La Calera
San Antonio Unido
Union La Calera
Colo Colo
Union La Calera
Trasandino
Union La Calera
Santiago Morning
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 40:26 | 14 | 30 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 7 | 8 | 3 | 24:22 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 28:36 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
A. Italiano
Home
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 21 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Union La Calera
Away
|
19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 13 |
L
L
L
D
D
|