Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
86%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
A. Italiano
Nublense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
A. Italiano
23 matches
Nublense
22 matches
| A. Italiano | Statistic | Nublense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 4 | Draws | 8 |
| 10 | Losses | 4 |
| 29 | Goals For | 29 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.09 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.06 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 10.94 | Total Shots | 12.63 |
| 3.88 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 50.1% | Ball Possession | 45.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Nublense's more proactive style and A. Italiano's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Nublense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with A. Italiano expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Nublense in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nublense having the stronger overall control.
A. Italiano are currently 12 in the standings with 19 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 20:23 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Giovani Chiaverano (2 goals), Michael Vadulli (2 goals), Diego Coelho (2 goals), with creative support from Esteban Matus (2 assists), Giovani Chiaverano (1 assists), Federico Mateos (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Nublense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 25 points after 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 20:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Ignacio Jeraldino (2 goals), Lucas Molina (2 goals), Matías Plaza (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Plaza (3 assists), Gabriel Graciani (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, A. Italiano won 6 times, Nublense won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:17 from A. Italiano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
A. Italiano
7
2
3
1
2
0
Lineups
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
Nublense
U. Catolica
Nublense
Union La Calera
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Palestino
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Huachipato
Nublense
Cobresal
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Colo Colo
Nublense
O'Higgins
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
Everton de Vina
Nublense
D. La Serena
Nublense
Concepción
Nublense
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Magallanes
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
A. Italiano
Cobresal
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
A. Italiano
Huachipato
A. Italiano
Curico Unido
A. Italiano
Deportes Temuco
A. Italiano
Palestino
A. Italiano
Concepción
A. Italiano
Union Espanola
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
Nublense
U. Catolica
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Rangers de Talca
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Cobresal
Nublense
Colo Colo
Nublense
Coquimbo Unido
Nublense
Everton de Vina
Nublense
Concepción
Nublense
Union La Calera
Nublense
Palestino
Nublense
Huachipato
Nublense
Magallanes
Nublense
Curico Unido
Nublense
Deportes Santa Cruz
Nublense
Universidad de Concepcion
Nublense
Universidad de Chile
Nublense
Magallanes
Nublense
D. Puerto Montt
Nublense
Linares Unido
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 46 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 36 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Nublense
Away
|
19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 41:28 | 13 | 30 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 30 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 28:22 | 6 | 27 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 9 | 22:23 | -1 | 26 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:21 | 3 | 25 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 24 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 24 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 28:31 | -3 | 23 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 |
A. Italiano
Home
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23:26 | -3 | 22 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13:30 | -17 | 19 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26:36 | -10 | 17 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17:37 | -20 | 14 |
D
L
L
L
D
|