CHILE PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
Referee: Diego Flores Seguel, Chile
A. Italiano
Match Timeline
Cobresal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Brea · Assist: C. Yanis
Cobresal
VAR
45+3'
Michael Vadulli
A. Italiano
VAR
45+3'
José Tiznado
Cobresal
45'
M. Fuentes
A. Italiano
🔄
46'
M. Ortiz ↔ F. Loyola
A. Italiano
49'
D. Coelho
A. Italiano
🔄
57'
A. Astudillo ↔ C. Moreno
Cobresal
🔄
57'
R. Sandoval ↔ A. Castillo
Cobresal
🔄
60'
F. Mateos ↔ M. Sandoval
A. Italiano
🔄
75'
G. Chiaverano ↔ R. Rebolledo
A. Italiano
🔄
75'
O. J. Rojas Munoz ↔ D. Monreal
A. Italiano
🔄
80'
F. Frias ↔ M. Sepulveda
Cobresal
🔄
83'
M. Fuentes ↔ F. Troyansky
A. Italiano
🟨
90+5'
Agustin Nadruz
Cobresal

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 75.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
75.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
A. Italiano Win 75.2%
Draw 12.2%
Cobresal Win 12.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
A. Italiano1.61
Cobresal1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
A. Italiano A. Italiano
WWDLW
15 GF / 19 GA
Cobresal Cobresal
WLDWL
19 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
2.15
4
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
8
3
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

A. Italiano A. Italiano 12 matches
Cobresal Cobresal 13 matches
A. Italiano Statistic Cobresal
3 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
7 Losses 8
15 Goals For 19
19 Goals Against 28
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 2.15
4 BTTS Yes 9
8 Over 1.5 9
8 Over 2.5 8
3 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
3 Shots On Goal 4.33
9.92 Total Shots 13.25
3.5 Corners 5.5
50.5% Ball Possession 44.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Cobresal. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with A. Italiano expected to line up in 3-4-1-2 and Cobresal in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cobresal having the stronger overall control.

A. Italiano Analysis

A. Italiano approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 11 points from 12 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 15:19, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through F. Troyansky (3 goals), G. Chiaverano (3 goals), D. Coelho (1 goals), with creative support from E. Matus (3 assists), N. Aedo (2 assists), G. Chiaverano (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cobresal Analysis

Cobresal sit 13 with 13 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 18:23, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Steffan Pino (6 goals), A. Nadruz (2 goals), Franco Frías (2 goals), with creative support from B. A. Carvallo U. (5 assists), G. Pacheco (2 assists), Julián Brea (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, A. Italiano won 9 times, Cobresal won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:13 from A. Italiano's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.8%)
Predicted formations: A. Italiano 3-4-1-2 / Cobresal 4-4-2
H2H summary: A. Italiano wins 9, draws 3, Cobresal wins 2
Stats
A. Italiano A. Italiano
Cobresal Cobresal
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
13
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
4 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 3
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Goal 4
13 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 4
9 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 1
461 Total passes 468
380 Passes accurate 360
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

A. Italiano
Formation
Cobresal
T. Ahumada
T. Ahumada
O. J. Rojas Munoz
O. J. Rojas Munoz
E. Ferrario
E. Ferrario
M. Ortiz
M. Ortiz
D. Pina
D. Pina
F. Mateos
F. Mateos
M. Collao
M. Collao
V. Zenteno
V. Zenteno
G. Chiaverano
G. Chiaverano
D. Coelho
D. Coelho
M. Fuentes
M. Fuentes
A. Santander
A. Santander
G. Pacheco
G. Pacheco
F. Bechtholdt
F. Bechtholdt
J. Tiznado
J. Tiznado
R. Sandoval
R. Sandoval
C. Yanis
🎯
C. Yanis
A. Astudillo
A. Astudillo
A. Nadruz
A. Nadruz
B. A. Carvallo U.
B. A. Carvallo U.
F. Frias
F. Frias
J. Brea
J. Brea
A. Italiano 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
T. Ahumada
G
16
O. J. Rojas Munoz
↓ 75'
D
13
E. Ferrario
D
29
M. Ortiz
↓ 46'
D
4
D. Pina
D
28
F. Mateos
↓ 60'
8
M. Collao
M
2
V. Zenteno
M
21
G. Chiaverano
↓ 75'
F
9
D. Coelho
⚽ 49'
F
27
M. Fuentes
⚽ 45' ↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
25
P. Garrido
11
F. Troyansky
↑ 83'
F
35
R. Rebolledo
↑ 75'
D
23
E. Matus
M
17
F. Loyola
↑ 46'
M
14
D. Monreal
↑ 75'
20
M. Jimenez
6
M. Sandoval
↑ 60'
M
10
R. Cabral
F
Cobresal 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
A. Santander
23
G. Pacheco
D
16
F. Bechtholdt
D
20
J. Tiznado
D
4
R. Sandoval
↓ 57'
7
C. Yanis
🎯 13'
M
22
A. Astudillo
↓ 57'
M
5
A. Nadruz
🟨 90+5'
M
10
B. A. Carvallo U.
M
32
F. Frias
↓ 80'
F
11
J. Brea
⚽ 13'
F
Substitutes
1
Gonzalez Renato
G
18
C. Moreno
↑ 57'
D
21
M. Sepulveda
↑ 80'
6
E. Valencia
M
15
A. Castillo
↑ 57'
D
24
B. Ramirez
F
13
B. Valenzuela
M
3
B. Villarroel
D
31
D. Leyton
M
Last matches: A. Italiano
05.07.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
1
2
L
30.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
3
2
W
27.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
2
1
W
24.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
2
1
W
19.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
1
1
D
01.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Palestino
0
0
D
16.05.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Coquimbo Unido
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
20.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Huachipato
2
3
L
11.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
3
4
L
03.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
O'Higgins
1
2
L
13.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Union La Calera
0
3
L
22.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Nublense
0
1
L
06.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
30.01.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Chile
0
0
D
Last matches: Cobresal
05.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
2
2
D
01.07.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
28.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Antofagasta
0
1
L
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
29.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Nublense
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Chile
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
O'Higgins
2
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Deportes Limache
2
5
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
27.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
1
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
U. Catolica
3
2
W
09.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cobresal
Huachipato
1
0
W
24.01.26
Fri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
3
2
W
H2H: A. Italiano vs Cobresal
23.05.26
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
W
04.03.26
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
1
D
31.10.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
2
L
17.05.25
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
0
1
W
25.09.24
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
0
1
W
30.04.24
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
3
4
W
30.04.23
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
0
W
08.09.22
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
2
D
10.04.22
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
0
1
W
04.10.21
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
W
10.05.21
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D
08.01.21
H2H
Cobresal
A. Italiano
1
2
W
25.01.20
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
4
1
W
21.12.19
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D
Last matches: A. Italiano
30.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Palestino
3
2
W
27.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Magallanes
2
1
W
19.06.26
Cop
A. Italiano
Deportes Santa Cruz
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
A. Italiano
D. La Serena
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Deportes Limache
2
2
D
11.04.26
Pri
A. Italiano
U. Catolica
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Concepción
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Colo Colo
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Everton de Vina
1
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
A. Italiano
Universidad de Concepcion
3
0
W
H2H at home: A. Italiano
23.05.26
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
W
31.10.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
2
L
30.04.24
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
1
L
30.04.23
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
0
W
08.09.22
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
2
D
10.05.21
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D
25.01.20
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
4
1
W
21.12.19
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D
Last matches: Cobresal
24.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
D. La Serena
0
0
D
20.06.26
Cop
Cobresal
Cobreloa
0
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Cobresal
Colo Colo
0
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Everton de Vina
1
3
L
13.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Universidad de Concepcion
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Cobresal
Coquimbo Unido
2
3
L
08.03.26
Pri
Cobresal
Palestino
2
4
L
20.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Concepción
1
1
D
09.02.26
Pri
Cobresal
Union La Calera
1
3
L
24.01.26
Fri
Cobresal
D. La Serena
3
2
W
H2H away: Cobresal
23.05.26
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
1
L
31.10.25
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
2
W
30.04.24
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
1
W
30.04.23
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
1
0
L
08.09.22
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
2
2
D
10.05.21
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D
25.01.20
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
4
1
L
21.12.19
H2H
A. Italiano
Cobresal
0
0
D

Standings

Primera
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 12 0 3 29:12 17 36
W W W W W
2 15 8 2 5 35:20 15 26
W W L W L
3 15 6 6 3 17:10 7 24
W D W L W
4 15 7 3 5 22:18 4 24
D W D W L
5 15 7 3 5 23:21 2 24
W D W W L
6 15 7 2 6 23:22 1 23
D L L W D
7 15 6 4 5 19:15 4 22
L W D W W
8 15 5 7 3 18:19 -1 22
D W D L L
9 15 6 3 6 30:23 7 21
L L L L D
10 15 6 2 7 19:22 -3 20
L D L L W
11 15 5 4 6 13:26 -13 19
L D D W L
12 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D L W L D
13 15 4 4 7 18:21 -3 16
D D W L D
14 15 4 2 9 14:23 -9 14
W L W L W
15 15 4 1 10 19:29 -10 13
L L L W L
16 15 3 3 9 14:28 -14 12
D D L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso