Puebla vs Leon Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.9%
|
3.07 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.70 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
1.94 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
80.3%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.50 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
11.00 |
Puebla
Leon
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Puebla
13 matches
Leon
14 matches
| Puebla | Statistic | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 5 | Losses | 4 |
| 19 | Goals For | 26 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.86 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.36 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 9 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 5.5 |
| 12.9 | Total Shots | 13.8 |
| 4.5 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 41.6% | Ball Possession | 50.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Leon's more proactive style and Puebla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Leon. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Puebla have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Puebla expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leon in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leon having the stronger overall control.
Puebla approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 14 points from 10 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 11:12 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on M. Tomás (2 goals), I. Maestro Puch (1 goals), Eduardo Mustre (1 goals), with creative support from A. Herrera (2 assists), I. Maestro Puch (1 assists), Eduardo Mustre (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 5 with 17 points from 10 outings, Leon continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 14:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Arcila (3 goals), D. Cambindo (3 goals), J. Alvarado (2 goals), with creative support from J. Alvarado (1 assists), J. Romaña (1 assists), F. Beltrán (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Puebla won 6 times, Leon won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:22 from Puebla's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 20 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 18 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 |
Leon
Away
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
| 6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | -1 | 17 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Puebla
Home
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 10 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 13 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:11 | 4 | 12 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 12 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 10 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 10 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:20 | -8 | 8 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7:25 | -18 | 3 |
L
W
L
L
L
|